Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 9/21/2024

The Detroit Tigers (80-74) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (86-68) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on BSDET. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.

Tigers vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Tigers (+108)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Tigers have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Tigers have scored an average of 4.8 runs per game.
  • Detroit has a 6-4 record in their last 10 road games.
  • The Tigers have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Orioles.
  • Detroit has a +15 run differential over their last 15 games.

Tigers vs Orioles

detroit tigers nba

Baltimore cruised to a 7-1 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their seven runs. As for the Tigers, they scored their only run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -165 on the money line.

Corbin Burnes pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going seven innings and striking out eight without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Tyler Holton took the loss for the Tigers. Holton only went one inning, giving up two earned runs on two hits.

James McCann and Colton Cowser each homered twice for the Orioles’ offense. McCann, Anthony Santander, and Gunnar Henderson each had two RBIs. Trey Sweeney had the lone RBI for the Tigers’ offense.

When the Tigers are on the road, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and the over/under record for Detroit games is 76-74 this season. Detroit’s average run margin in winning games is +3.6, and they have a 60-34 record as the underdog. The Tigers are currently 9.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central with an 80-74 overall record.

As underdogs, the Tigers have a 44-50 record straight up, compared to 36-24 as favorites. On the run line, Detroit has a 49-30 record on the road and 33-42 at home. In series this season, the Tigers have a 24-20-5 record, and they are currently on a four-game winning streak.

Reese Olson Gets The Start For The Tigers

Right-hander Reese Olson is on the mound for the Tigers today as he gets set to face the Orioles on the road. He has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 4-8 with a 3.50 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .236 this year. In his 20 outings, Olson has turned in nine quality starts and is coming off a short outing where he gave up four earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up more than two earned runs. So far, he has a 4.12 ERA on the road compared to 4.35 at home.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. Their batting average of .234 is 16th in the league, and they are also just 17th in on-base percentage. Detroit’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. The Tigers will be looking for their lineup to continue its recent success, as Colt Keith is on a five-game hitting streak, while Parker Meadows has a four-game hitting streak.

Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as he has 24 homers and is also leading the team with 71 RBIs. Greene has also gone deep four times in his last 10 games. Matt Vierling comes into the game with 16 homers, which is the 2nd most on the team, and has gone deep three times in his last 10 games.

After winning the series opener against the Tigers, the Orioles are now 86-68 overall and trail the Yankees by four games in the AL East. Baltimore’s series record this season is 25-17-7. The Orioles are 4-6 in their last ten games and have a 30-19 record in the AL East.

This season, the Orioles have an 82-72 run line record and have covered the run line in two straight games as favorites. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs, resulting in an O/U record of 82-61. Baltimore’s current over streak is at four games, and the O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs.

Cade Povich Gets The Start For The Orioles

Cade Povich is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Tigers, as he got the start and took the loss on September 15th. In that outing, he gave up 2 earned runs on 2 hits in 5 innings of work. Povich also gave up a homer in that outing. Looking back over his last three starts, Povich has finished with a record of 2-9 and an ERA of 5.74. Opposing batters are hitting .271 off Povich this season. One positive for Povich is that he has three quality starts this year. His ERA at home is 3.94 compared to 18.14 on the road.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

The Orioles come into the game as the league’s top home run hitting team, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of isolated power. As a team, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 5th in the league. Baltimore has been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Anthony Santander is the league’s 3rd leading home run hitter this season and is also 10th in the league in RBIs, but he has struggled of late, hitting just .154 over his last seven games. Gunnar Henderson has been hot of late, going 9/28 in his last seven games, and is also on a three-game hitting streak. Colton Cowser is also on a five-game hitting streak and has gone 7/23 in his last seven games.

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction

Our pick for this Tigers vs. Orioles matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at +108. We have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 5-4, and with the money line payout, we feel this is the best way to play this one.

Looking at some of the starting pitcher predictions, we have Cade Povich finishing with six strikeouts compared to Reese Olson with five. However, we have Povich going fewer innings and finishing with a higher ERA.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.