Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6/1/2024

The Detroit Tigers (28-29) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (29-29) on Saturday, June 1st. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSDET. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.

Tigers vs Red Sox

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Thanks to a four-run 4th inning for the Red Sox’ offense, they cruised to a 7-3 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -170 on the money line.

The Tigers got on the board first in the 1st inning, scoring one run off Red Sox starter Tanner Houck. After that, Houck settled in and gave up just one more run in seven innings of work, picking up a win in the game. As for the Tigers, Kenta Maeda had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.

Boston’s offense was led by a big game from Ceddanne Rafaela, who went 2/4 with two homers and five RBIs. David Hamilton also had a three-hit game and scored two runs for the Red Sox’ offense.

Detroit is 28-29 overall as they are playing this one on the road vs. the Red Sox. The Tigers are 10.0 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead, and they are 4th in the division. So far, they have gone 10-9 in AL Central matchups. Detroit is looking to get back to .500 today, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Tigers are 14-15 this year and have gone 14-14 on the road. As the road favorite, the Tigers are 4-2 this year, and they are 14-12 overall as the favorite. Detroit has gone 14-17 as the underdog this year, and their overall series record is 8-7-3 this year.

When the Tigers win, they do so by an average of 3.5 runs. When they lose, they do so by an average of 3.4 runs. Their overall run line record is 25-32, but they have been a better bet on the road, where they are 16-12 vs. the run line. As an underdog, they are 19-12 vs. the run line, and as a favorite, they are just 6-20.

The Detroit Tigers are on the road today against the Boston Red Sox. The over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which is exactly the combined run average for Tigers games this season. Detroit’s over/under record is 31-24 on the year, and their average line is set at 8 runs per game. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Tigers have a record of 5-7. So far this season, only 10.5% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s total.

Reese Olson Gets The Start For The Tigers

Detroit is sending right-hander Reese Olson to the mound today vs. the Red Sox. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-5 with an ERA of 1.92. Opponents are batting .194 this year vs. Olsen. In his 10 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.51 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his recent outings, Olsen most recently faced the Blue Jays, where he picked up the win, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Over the past six games, Matt Vierling has been on fire for the Tigers, going 10/24 with four homers and eight runs scored. Vierling also has 10 RBIs in this stretch. Vierling’s recent surge has helped him move into the team lead in home runs. Kerry Carpenter is also having a strong season for the Tigers, batting .283 with eight homers and a team-high 29 RBIs.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They are also just 16th in home runs and have a team batting average of .234. Detroit’s team OPS of .683 is also below the league average.

Boston is at an even 29-29 overall as they get set to host the Tigers today. The Red Sox are 10.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East, and they are 3rd in the division. So far, they have gone just 5-8 in divisional games.

At home, the Red Sox are 12-16 this year compared to 17-13 on the road. As the favorite, Boston has gone 15-12 this year and 14-17 as the underdog. The Red Sox have dropped two straight series and are 8-9-1 in series record this year.

When betting the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road than at home this season, with an 18-12 record away from Fenway Park. They have a run differential of +1.3 runs per game on the road, compared to -.6 runs per game at home. They are 8-19 against the run line as the favorite and 18-13 as the underdog.

Today’s game between the Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers has an over/under line of 8.5 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-31. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 10-10. Overall, 44.8% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs this season.

Cooper Criswell Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Through eight starts, Cooper Criswell has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 4.19 for the Red Sox. Overall, he has made nine appearances. Criswell’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. The right-hander is coming off a rough outing against the Orioles, where he gave up seven earned runs in just four innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up a homer. Criswell has allowed at least one homer in four of his last six outings.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Boston’s offense is batting .242 this season, which is 9th in the league, and they are also among the league leaders in isolated power. One of the things that has hurt the Red Sox offense this season is their strikeout numbers, as they are averaging 9 strikeouts per game.

Ceddanne Rafaela comes into today’s game as the Red Sox’s leader in RBIs, as he has 33 RBIs and is also 3rd on the team with seven home runs. Rafaela has two homers in his last five games and is batting .250 over that stretch. Tyler O’Neill is also a player to watch in this one, as he has 11 homers this season, which is 8th in the league, and is on a six-game hitting streak.

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction

At home, we have the Red Sox taking this one over the Tigers with a predicted final score of 5-4. We recommend taking the Red Sox on the money line, as they are currently at -102.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Reese Olson finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth best among starters today. As for Cooper Criswell, he is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for seventh.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.