Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction 6/2/2024

The Detroit Tigers (28-30) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (30-29) on Sunday, June 2nd. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on BSDET. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Tigers vs Red Sox

detroit tigers nba

Boston picked up a 6-3 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a two-run lead going into the 9th inning and the Tigers scored two runs but still fell short. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were favored at -112 on the money line.

Detroit got on the board first in the 1st inning, scoring one run off Red Sox starter Cooper Criswell. He finished the game with just one earned run allowed in five innings of work but did not factor in the decision. Garrett Whitlock got the win out of the bullpen, and Matt Barnes got the save.

Offensively, the Red Sox were led by a big game from Enmanuel Valdez, who went 3/4 with two homers and three RBIs. Jarren Duran also had two hits and scored two runs for Boston. Gio Urshela hit the Tigers’ only home run and drove in two runs.

Detroit is 28-30 overall and trails the Guardians by 11 games in the AL Central. The Tigers have dropped two straight games and are losing the series vs. the Red Sox 1-2. So far, they have gone 10-9 in AL Central games.

As the road underdog, the Tigers are 10-13 this season, and they are 14-12 as the favorite. For the year, they are an even 14-15 both at home and on the road. Detroit’s overall record includes a 5-5 mark over their last 10 games.

When it comes to the run line, the Tigers have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 16-13. They have been the underdog in 32 of their 58 games, going 19-13 against the run line. They have been favored in 26 games, going just 6-20 against the run line.

The Tigers have been a solid over team this season, with a 32-24 O/U record. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their games have had an average line of 8 runs. When their games have had a line of 9 runs, they have gone over 4-1. Only 1.7% of their games have had a line of 9 or more runs, and their games have gone under the total in 89.7% of their games. Their games have gone over the total in their last two games.

Casey Mize Gets The Start For The Tigers

Detroit is sending Casey Mize to the mound today vs. the Red Sox, and he comes in with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 4.71. Mize has made 10 starts this year and has a WHIP of 1.43. Looking at his overall numbers, Mize has made four quality starts and is averaging 6.16 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Mize finished with a no-decision, going 4 1/3 innings vs. the Blue Jays. He gave up three earned runs on eight hits in the outing. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Over the past six games, Matt Vierling has been on fire for the Tigers, going 12/26 with four homers and nine RBIs. This has helped him move into a tie for the team lead in homers with Riley Greene, who is batting .244 for the season. Greene has also driven in 23 runs, which is the 4th best mark in the league right now. Kerry Carpenter is the Tigers’ top hitter so far, with a batting average of .283 and a team-leading 29 RBIs.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. Their team batting average of .234 is also 16th in the MLB. Detroit’s offense has been slightly better on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per contest.

Boston will take on the Tigers today with an overall record of 30-29, and they are 10.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox have won two straight games, and they are 3rd in the AL East with an overall division record of 5-8. So far, they have gone 13-16 at home and 17-13 on the road.

As the favorite, the Red Sox have put together a record of 16-12 and 14-17 when they are the underdog. Boston’s overall series record is 8-9-1, and they have dropped two straight series.

When the Red Sox win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 4.3 runs per game. That’s helped them to an 18-12 run line record on the road, where they’ve been outscoring opponents by 1.3 runs per game. But they’ve been outscored by an average of 0.5 runs per game at home, leading to a 9-20 run line record. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog than as the favorite, going 18-13 on the run line in those games.

The Red Sox have been playing in high-scoring games recently, with their combined run average sitting at 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 23-31, and they have gone over the total in two straight games. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, they have a record of 3-1-2. Overall, only 10.2% of their games this season have had lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Brayan Bello gets the start for the Red Sox today and comes into the game with a record of 6-2 and an ERA of 4.18. Looking back at his last outing, Bello picked up the win, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on two homers. He was able to limit the damage in that outing, as he only gave up five hits and two walks. Bello has made two quality starts this year and is averaging 8.37 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed a total of eight homers. At home, his ERA is 2.89 compared to 5.06 on the road.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

boston red sox

So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 11th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in isolated power and have the 2nd best team BABIP in the league. Boston’s offense has been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 17th in the league in walks.

Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been the top power threats in the Red Sox lineup, with Devers having 10 homers and O’Neill at 11. Devers is also 2nd on the team with 27 RBIs. Ceddanne Rafaela has been a bit of a batting average liability this season, hitting just .212, but he does lead the team with 33 RBIs. Rafaela has two homers in his last five games and is 4/16 in that stretch.

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction

Our pick for today’s Tigers vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox to win straight up. The money line payout for the Red Sox is -143, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Brayan Bello is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and Casey Mize is projected to finish with four. Bello is also projected to finish with fewer earned runs than Mize.

Offensively, we have the Red Sox finishing with nine hits compared to the Tigers with eight. If you’re looking for a home run prediction, the Red Sox are expected to finish with 1.5 home runs, which is 18th in the league.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.