The Detroit Tigers (41-48) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (42-47) on Sunday, July 7th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSDET. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Tigers vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+120)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Reds have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- The Reds have a higher league rank (11th) compared to the Tigers (15th).
- The Reds have a better home record (20-25) compared to the Tigers’ away record (22-26).
- The Reds have won 3 of their last 4 games against teams with a similar or worse league rank.
Tigers vs Reds
Detroit rallied for five runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Reds series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the top of the 8th, picking up a 5-3 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +138 on the money line.
Cincinnati wasted a good outing from Hunter Greene, as he gave up just two hits and no earned runs in seven innings of work for the Reds. Fernando Cruz took the loss. Shelby Miller got the win out of the bullpen for the Tigers as Alex Faedo went two innings, giving up one hit and no earned runs.
Offensively, the Tigers were led by Wenceel Perez and Parker Meadows, as they were the only two Tigers hitters to have more than one hit. Perez and Spencer Steer each homered for Detroit.
After winning the first two games of their series against the Reds, the Tigers are now 41-48 overall and 15 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. They have an overall series record of 10-14-4 and have covered the run line in two straight games. As underdogs, they are 30-21 against the run line, with an average run margin of -0.3 runs per game.
This season, Tigers games have had an average combined run total of 8.5, and their over/under record is 47-39. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, their record is 11-9-2. Today’s over/under line is 8 runs, and the Tigers are on the road, where they are 25-23 vs. the run line.
Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with an ERA of 2.45. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .93, and opponents are batting .198 off the left-hander this year. Skubal has made 12 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 20th in the majors. They have been a below-average offensive team in terms of home runs and batting average. As a team, they are batting just .228. Detroit’s offense is led by Riley Greene, who is batting .263 for the season and has a team-high 45 RBIs. Greene also has 17 homers, which is 10th in the league.
Over the Tigers’ last six games, Colt Keith has been swinging a hot bat, going 8/25 with three homers and five RBIs. This has helped him move his season average up to .246. Keith and Carson Kelly are both on four-game hitting streaks.
Cincinnati is looking to bounce back from two straight losses and improve their 12-14 record in divisional games. They are currently in 4th place in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 9.5 games.
On the run line, the Reds have a 48-41 record and have been profitable as underdogs with a 32-19 mark. This season, their games have averaged 8.4 runs, and their over/under record is 38-47. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, which is lower than the average line of 9 runs for their games this season.
Graham Ashcraft Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is giving the ball to right-hander Graham Ashcraft today, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Yankees on July 2nd, he went five innings, giving up three earned runs, and he gave up two homers in that outing. Looking back over his last four outings, Ashcraft has allowed at least one homer in each of those starts. For the season, he has made 14 starts, and his ERA is 5.45, along with a record of 5-4. Opponents are batting .274 off Ashcraft this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.81 strikeouts and 2.97 walks.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Over his last nine games, Spencer Steer has gone 9/32 with four homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .243 with 13 homers, which is 3rd on the team. His 57 RBIs is the best mark on the Reds and 11th in the league. Elly De La Cruz is batting .250 and has gone deep 15 times this season, which is the best mark on the team and 12th in the MLB.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road (4.5 runs per game). They are just 22nd in team batting average and have a collective on-base percentage of just .303. Currently, they are 18th in the league in home runs.
Tigers vs Reds Prediction
We are predicting the Reds to pick up a 5-4 win over the Tigers today. With the Reds being the underdogs on the money line at +120, this is the best way to go. If you’re looking for a parlay, the over/under is set at 8 runs, and we would take the over in this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Graham Ashcraft going 6-7 innings, and he is projected to finish with four strikeouts. As for Tarik Skubal, he has the highest strikeout projection among starters today, finishing with seven K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 9, 2024 Reds, Tigers