Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs Houston Astros Prediction 10/1/2024

The Detroit Tigers (86-76) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (88-73) on Tuesday, October 1st. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on ABC. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the White Sox. First pitch is set for 1:32 CT.

Tigers vs. Astros Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Astros (-148)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 6.5 Runs
  • In the last 15 games, the Astros have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showing strong offensive performance.
  • The Astros have won 6 out of their last 7 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
  • In their last 15 games, the Astros have a winning record of 9-6, demonstrating recent positive momentum.
  • Against teams with a losing record, the Astros have consistently performed well, as evidenced by their 3-1 series win against the Angels at home.
  • The Astros have outscored their opponents by a total of 30 runs in their last 15 games, showcasing their ability to dominate offensively.

Tigers vs Astros

detroit tigers nba

The Astros Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the White Sox with a 9-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 5th inning before the White Sox scored four runs in the top of the 7th. Detroit was the -238 favorite at home going into the game.

Kenta Maeda had a rough outing, giving up five earned runs on five hits and issuing a walk. The Tigers also wasted a big game from Kerry Carpenter, who homered in the 2nd inning, going 1/5.

On the run line, the Tigers have an 86-76 record this season, including a 51-30 mark on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 62-34 as underdogs. Detroit is 40-26 when favored, and their average run differential on the road is +0.4.

Detroit is 6.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead, entering today’s game with an 86-76 overall record. They will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak, which ended their series vs. the White Sox. The Tigers have a 26-20-5 series record this season.

Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers

Detroit is sending left-hander Tarik Skubal to the mound today vs. the Astros. He has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is currently .92, and he has turned in 22 quality starts. Skubal has been particularly tough at home, going 10-1 with a 2.02 ERA compared to 8-3 with a 3.09 ERA on the road. In his last outing, he pitched seven scoreless innings, picking up the win vs. the Rays. Skubal has won each of his last two starts.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also the 19th ranked home run hitting team in the league. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 15th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of just .300.

Riley Greene is the Tigers’ top power threat, as his 24 homers is the best mark on the team. He is also 3rd on the team with a batting average of .262. Kerry Carpenter comes into the game with a team-high 57 RBIs and is batting .284 for the season. However, he has gone just 3/16 in his last five games.

The Astros Are Coming Off A Win

Houston closed out their series vs. the Guardians with a 4-3 win. Heading into the game, the Astros were the +130 underdog on the money line. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning and added three more runs in the 2nd.

Justin Verlander put together a good start for the Astros, going six innings and giving up three earned runs, and picking up the win. Houston’s offense was carried by Mauricio Dubon, who went 2/4 with two doubles and two RBIs.

As favorites, the Astros have a 67-51 record this season, and they have an overall series record of 27-22-2. They have a 42-38 road record and are 46-35 at home. Houston’s average run line record is 38-43 at home and 45-35 on the road, and their over/under record for the season is 65-90.

Houston leads the AL West by 3.5 games over the Mariners, and they are 88-73 overall. The Astros have a 29-23 record in divisional games and have an average run total of 8.6 runs per game this season. Their current under streak is at 2 games, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 6.5 runs.

Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros

Framber Valdez is coming off a strong outing vs. the Mariners, as he went 5 2/3 innings, picking up the win in the process. In that outing, he gave up three earned runs, issued two walks, and gave up one homer. Looking back further, Valdez has allowed a homer in three straight outings. Valdez has a record of 15-7 this season and an ERA of 2.91. Out of his 28 starts, he has turned in 17 quality starts and has a WHIP of 1.11. Valdez’s lone complete game came this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.63 strikeouts and 2.81 walks.

Astros Offense Breakdown

houston astros

Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ most dangerous hitter this season, as he is batting .308 with a league-leading 35 home runs. His 86 RBIs are also the best mark on the team. Alex Bregman has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 8/17 with two homers over his last five games. Bregman is batting .260 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 26 homers.

As a team, the Astros are 10th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, the Astros are the 2nd best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262.

Tigers vs Astros Prediction

Our prediction for this Tigers vs. Astros matchup is to take the Astros on the money line at -148. We actually have the Astros winning this one by a score of 4-3, which would give you some room to take the Astros on the run line if you can get a better payout.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Framber Valdez is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal, who we have finishing with five. However, Skubal is projected to go just four innings, while Valdez is projected to go six.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.