The Detroit Tigers (11-9) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (6-12) on Saturday, April 20th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 2:10 ET.
Tigers vs Twins
Detroit rallied for four runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Twins series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up four in the top of the 9th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +131 on the money line.
Jack Flaherty started for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. Andrew Chafin got the win out of the bullpen, and Jason Foley got the save. Caleb Thielbar took the loss for the Twins out of the bullpen.
Kerry Carpenter went 4/5 with two RBIs, while Wenceel Perez and Spencer Torkelson each had three hits and two RBIs for the Tigers’ offense. Trevor Larnach hit the game’s only home run and drove in two runs for the Twins.
Detroit’s overall record currently sits at 11-9, and they have gone 7-2 on the road this season. At home, they have been just 4-7. In the AL Central, they are three games behind the Guardians and are 3rd in the division standings.
So far, the Tigers have been good as the underdog, putting together a 5-5 record. They are just above .500 in games where they are the favorite, at 6-4. Detroit is also on a two-game winning streak as the road team.
When the Tigers win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.2 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of -3.0 runs per game. They are 7-13 against the run line overall, but 5-4 on the road, where they have a run differential of +1.1 runs per game. They are 6-4 against the run line as an underdog, but just 1-9 as a favorite.
The over has hit in three straight games for the Detroit Tigers, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 9-10 on the season, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 8 runs per game. The over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in six of their 19 games this season, and the over has hit in three of those games.
Reese Olson Gets The Start For The Tigers
Reese Olson will be making his third start of the season for the Tigers, and it will be his first road start of the year. He has taken the loss in each of his first two outings, and in his last start, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up just one earned run. He struck out 8 batters and allowed 6 hits.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
For the Tigers, we have Gio Urshela with the highest total hits projection on the team and the 17th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 8th on the team and 19th in the league. Riley Greene is 2nd on the team in total hits and 3rd in terms of home run projections. His total hits projection is 18th in the league. Kerry Carpenter’s total hits projection is 19th in the league and his home run projection is 9th. Spencer Torkelson’s total hits projection is 6th on the team, but he has the highest home run projection for the Tigers and the 8th best in the league today.
As the Twins are at home today vs. the Tigers, they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, as they are currently 6-12 this season. In the AL Central, they are in 4th place and seven games behind the Guardians. So far, they have really struggled at home, going 1-5.
When playing on the road, the Twins are 5-7 this season. They have yet to win a series at home, as their overall series record is 1-3-2.
Minnesota’s run line record is 8-10 this season, with a -1.2 run margin per game. They’re 1-5 against the run line at home, but 7-5 on the road. As the favorite, they’re 5-4 vs. the run line, but just 3-6 as the underdog. In their wins, their average run margin is +3.5, while in losses, it’s -3.5.
So far this season, the Twins have played 18 games, and their average combined run total is 8.1. Their over/under record is 8-10, and the average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs. In games where the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit once in one game. Overall, 14 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, while three games have had lower lines.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Bailey Ober is getting the start for the Twins today, and he will be at home against the Tigers. This will be his 3rd start of the season, and he is still looking for his first win. In his first start, he went 6 innings and struck out 3, and then in his last outing, he went 5 innings and struck out 7.
Twins Offense Breakdown
For the Twins, Alex Kirilloff has the highest total hits projection on the team and 14th best in the league today. He is 4th on the team and 11th in the league in terms of home run projections. Jose Miranda is 2nd on the team and 17th in the league in terms of total hits projections, and 5th and 13th in terms of home run projections. Ryan Jeffers is 4th on the team and 25th in the league in terms of total hits projections, but he has the highest home run projection on the team and 5th in the league. Edouard Julien is 3rd on the team and 20th in the league in terms of total hits projections, and 2nd and 7th in terms of home run projections.
Tigers vs Twins Prediction
Our prediction for this game is that the Twins will pick up a 5-4 win over the Tigers. Given that the payout for a Twins win is -136, this is the bet that we recommend making.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Bailey Ober has a much better chance of picking up a win than Reese Olson. Ober is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Olson is projected to finish with six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 20, 2024 Tigers, Twins