The Detroit Tigers (38-47) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (48-37) on Wednesday, July 3rd. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Tigers vs. Twins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-165)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- Twins have won 7 of their last 10 games, showing strong recent form.
- Twins have a 3-game winning streak, indicating momentum.
- Twins have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- Twins have a home record of 24-16, significantly better than the Tigers’ away record of 19-25.
- Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games against the Tigers.
Tigers vs Twins
It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Tigers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -127 favorites and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Twins had just two more hits than the Tigers and struck out eight times, but still picked up a win.
Carlos Correa and Royce Lewis each had two RBIs for the Twins’ offense. Manuel Margot also had a two-hit game and scored two runs while batting leadoff.
Detroit wasted a good outing from Tarik Skubal, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work. Will Vest took the loss out of the bullpen.
On the season, the Tigers have an over/under record of 45-38, with their games averaging 8.4 runs per game. Detroit’s run line record is 36-49, and they have a -0.3 average run margin per game. They are 9-29 vs. the run line as favorites and 27-20 as underdogs.
Entering today’s game, the Tigers have lost their last two series and have a 3-7 record in their last ten games. Overall, they are 38-47, sitting in 4th place in the AL Central, 16 games behind the Guardians.
Keider Montero Gets The Start For The Tigers
Keider Montero will be making his first road start of the season for the Tigers, as he takes on the Twins. Montero has started two games this season, and both have been losses. In his first start, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up 4 runs, and in his most recent outing, he gave up 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Coming into today’s game, the Tigers offense is averaging 4 runs per game, which is 22nd in the MLB. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .227, and their team on-base percentage of .292 is also among the worst in the league. Detroit’s offense is also near the bottom of the league in home runs and slugging percentage.
Riley Greene has been a bright spot for the Tigers this season, as he is batting .253 with a team-high 41 RBIs and 15 homers. Justyn-Henry Malloy has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 5/13 in his last four games with two homers. He has also driven in three runs during this stretch. Malloy is also on a three-game hitting streak.
Minnesota has been on a roll, winning three straight series and their last three games. They are 7-3 in their last 10 and are six games behind the Guardians in the AL Central with a 48-37 record. The Twins have an overall series record of 16-8-2 and are 41-44 against the run line this season.
When the total is set at 9 runs, the Twins are 6-2 straight up. Their games this season have averaged 9.1 runs, and the over has hit in two consecutive games. As favorites, the Twins are 39-20 straight up, and at home, they have a 24-16 record. Their average run margin in wins is +3.6, while in losses, it’s -3.5 runs per game.
David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins
David Festa will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Twins. In his first outing, he picked up a win on the road against the Diamondbacks. Festa went 5 innings, giving up 5 runs, but did strike out 7 hitters.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Minnesota’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game (8th) and batting a collective .249, which is 10th in the league. They have also been good at avoiding strikeouts and have the league’s 5th most home runs. The Twins have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5 runs per game.
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, with Santana’s 12 homers being 2nd on the team and Jeffers’ 13 leading the club. Jeffers also comes into the game as the team’s leader in RBIs. Over his last eight games, Byron Buxton has gone 12/29 with four homers, and Jose Miranda is batting .394 over his last nine games.
Tigers vs Twins Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Twins vs. Tigers matchup is 6-4 in favor of the Twins. With the Twins at -165 on the money line, there is some value there, but we actually like the over in this one. The line is sitting at 9 runs, and we have these teams combining for 10 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, David Festa is predicted to go six innings for the Twins and has a solid chance of picking up the win. As for Keider Montero, he is projected to go just five innings and has one of the lower strikeout projections among starters.
Offensively, the Twins are predicted to finish with 11 hits compared to the Tigers with nine. If you’re looking for a player prop, you could look at the Twins to finish with the most strikeouts, as we have them racking up 11 K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 3, 2024 Tigers, Twins