Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/5/2024

The Detroit Tigers (18-15) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (22-13) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 1:35 ET.

Tigers vs Yankees

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New York picked up a 5-3 win over the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 3rd inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Tigers, they scored two of their three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -168 on the money line.

Clarke Schmidt got the start for the Yankees, going just five innings while giving up three runs and striking out seven. He did not factor in the decision, as the win went to Clay Holmes out of the bullpen. Casey Mize struggled on the mound for the Tigers, taking the loss after going 5 1/3 innings and giving up five runs.

Riley Greene hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Anthony Rizzo did a bit of everything for the Yankees, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Detroit is 18-15 overall this year, and they are 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by three games. The Tigers have dropped two straight games, and they are currently on the road for today’s game vs. the Yankees. So far, they are 10-6 on the road and 8-9 at home.

The Tigers’ overall series record is 6-2-2, and they have won four straight series. As for their overall record, the Tigers are 9-7 as the favorite and 9-8 as the underdog. Detroit has also been good as the road underdog, going 7-5 this year. Their overall record vs. the AL Central is 9-4.

The Detroit Tigers are 15-18 against the run line this season. They are 10-6 vs. the run line on the road and have covered the run line in five of their last six road games. The Tigers have been a good bet vs. the run line as an underdog, going 12-5 vs. the run line in those games. Detroit has an average run margin of +1.1 on the road this season.

The Detroit Tigers have an Over/Under record of 14-17 this season, and their games have averaged 7.7 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7 runs is 3-0. The Tigers’ games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs this season, and their games have had an over/under line of 7 runs in 30 of their games this season, which is 90.9% of their games. Their game today against the New York Yankees has an over/under line of 7 runs.

Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers

Tarik Skubal has been pitching great for the Tigers this season, as he comes into the game with a record of 4-0 and an ERA of 1.72. Skubal has made six starts this year and has turned in four quality starts. His most recent outing was on April 28th, where he got the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back at his last three outings, Skubal has given up a total of two earned runs. The left-hander has been especially tough on the road, coming in with a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 0.0. At home, his ERA is 2.45.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.8 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .226, which is 15th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .301 is also below average. Detroit does have the league’s 14th ranked home run hitter in Riley Greene, who is also batting .276 for the season.

Greene has been on a tear of late, going 9/20 in his last five games with 3 homers and 4 RBIs. Wenceel Perez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 6/18 in his last five games with two homers. Greene also comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak.

The Yankees are hosting the Tigers today with an overall record of 22-13, which has them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. New York is on a two-game winning streak, and they have gone 6-7 in divisional matchups this year. So far, they are 10-5 at home and have been good on the road, going 12-8.

As the favorite, the Yankees have put together a record of 15-9 this year, and they are 7-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 7-2-1, and they have won two straight as the home favorite. Looking at their overall form, the Yankees are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.3 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -2.5 runs per game. They are 16-19 against the run line overall, but they are 8-3 as the underdog.

The Yankees have had 13 of their 33 games go over the total this season, and their games have had an average of 8.1 runs per game. Today’s over/under line is set at 7 runs, and the Yankees have yet to have a game with an over/under line set at 7 runs this season.

Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is starting Nestor Cortes today, and he comes into the game with a record of 1-3 and ERA of 3.86. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 7.93 strikeouts per nine innings. Cortes’ last outing came on April 30th, where he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. The left-hander has allowed a total of five homers this season.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, putting up 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are 3rd in team home runs and have the league’s 3rd ranked scoring offense. New York comes into the game with a team batting average of .244.

Juan Soto has been a big addition to the Yankees lineup, as he is batting .318 for the season and has gone 7/22 in his last six games. Soto’s eight home runs are 3rd in the league and the best mark on the team. Anthony Rizzo and Aaron Judge also have six homers apiece. Rizzo is currently on a three-game hitting streak but is just 4/21 in his last six games.

Tigers vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Tigers game is that the Yankees will pick up a 5-4 win. Given that the payout for a Yankees win is -126, we recommend taking them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nestor Cortes finishing with 5 strikeouts compared to Tarik Skubal with six. However, Cortes is predicted to finish with a higher strikeout total than his actual, while Skubal is projected to finish with six, which is tied for the best among starters today.

Another reason we like the Yankees in this one is that they are projected to hit two more home runs than the Tigers. If you’re looking to place a bet on the over/under, the line is sitting at 7 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.