Arizona Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/11/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (18-21) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (25-12) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 4:05 ET.

Diamondbacks vs Orioles

arizona diamondbacks nba

Baltimore picked up a 4-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and didn’t look back, as the Diamondbacks could only muster one run in the 3rd and added their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -134 on the money line.

Cole Irvin got the win for the Orioles, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a walk. Yennier Cano got the save. Brandon Pfaadt had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up three earned runs.

Ketel Marte was the only player in the Diamondbacks’ lineup to have more than one hit, as he went 2/5 with a home run. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. also had two hits and drove in a run for Arizona. Baltimore’s top hitter was Ryan Mountcastle, who went 2/4 with two RBIs.

Arizona is 18-21 overall this season, and they are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they have gone 9-8 in divisional matchups. The Diamondbacks are on the road today, and they trail the Orioles in the series 0-1.

As the road underdog, the Diamondbacks have gone 6-8 this season, and they are 9-8 when favored. Arizona’s overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have dropped three straight series at home.

Arizona has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 19-20 overall. They’ve been a .500 team against the run line on the road, going 10-10. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 12-10 against the run line, compared to 7-10 as the favorite.

When the Diamondbacks play, the over/under line is usually set at 8.5 runs. In their last 10 games, the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs five times, and the over/under record in those games is 5-5. The Diamondbacks’ games have averaged 9.6 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-22 overall.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson will be making his 4th start of the season for the Diamondbacks, and it will be his 2nd road start. He has a win and a no-decision in his first two starts, with his last outing being a win over the Padres. In that game, he went 5 innings, giving up 4 runs, but he did strike out 8 batters.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Diamondbacks are 7th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Arizona’s team batting average of .248 is 7th in the league, and they also do a good job of avoiding strikeouts and are 6th in the league in walks. Arizona’s offense has also been good at avoiding strikeouts, and they are 5th in the league in walks.

Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Walker’s seven homers ranking 2nd on the team and Marte’s eight homers leading the Diamondbacks. Marte comes into the game on an 11-game hitting streak, and he has gone deep three times in his last eight games. Over this stretch, he is batting .250. Walker has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/27 (.333) in his last eight games.

The Orioles are 25-12 overall and lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. Baltimore has taken two straight games overall, and they are 6-1 against other teams in the AL East. The Orioles won the series opener vs. the Diamondbacks and have an overall series record of 8-3-1 this year.

At home, the Orioles are 13-7 this year and have gone 12-5 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, putting together a record of 13-5. As the favorite, the Orioles are 18-11 this year and 7-1 as the underdog.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. That has helped them to a 22-15 run line record overall, including a 12-8 mark at home. They are 15-14 against the run line as the favorite and 7-1 as the underdog. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 1-0 against the run line as the favorite in that span.

When the Baltimore Orioles play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Orioles have gone over the line in 8 of their 15 games with that line, and their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season.

John Means Gets The Start For The Orioles

John Means is getting the start for the Orioles at home against the Diamondbacks. He is coming off a strong outing against the Reds, where he went 7 innings, giving up 3 hits and striking out 8. He picked up the win in that game.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

The Orioles come into the game as the league’s top home run hitting team and are also 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Not only do they have the best team ISO in the league, but they are also near the top of the league in slugging percentage and OPS. Baltimore’s offense has been especially good at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Adley Rutschman comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak, and he has gone 12/38 in his last nine games, including one home run. For the season, he is batting .316 with five homers and 22 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson is also a player to watch, as his 11 home runs is 2nd best in the league. He is batting .272 for the season.

Diamondbacks vs Orioles Prediction

Our predictions for this Orioles vs. Diamondbacks matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Orioles winning this one 6-5, but with the payout for the Orioles on the money line at -170, we see the over as the better bet.

Looking at today’s starters, we have John Means finishing with five strikeouts compared to Ryne Nelson with seven. Nelson is projected to give up more runs than Means, and if you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look to Means’ strikeout total.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.