The Arizona Diamondbacks (60-52) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (67-44) on Monday, August 5th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+105)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Guardians have won 9 out of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
- The Guardians have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games, indicating a potent offense.
- The Guardians have a home record of 35-17, demonstrating a significant home-field advantage.
- The Guardians have won 6 out of their last 8 home games, highlighting their recent dominance at home.
- The Guardians have outscored opponents by an average of 3.4 runs per game in their last 5 home wins.
Diamondbacks vs Guardians
The Diamondbacks Are Coming Off A Win
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Pirates, closing out their series with a 6-5 win. After allowing one run to the Pirates in the bottom of the first, the Diamondbacks responded with three runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another three runs in the 2nd inning.
Ryne Nelson got the start for the Diamondbacks, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. Joc Pederson had a big game at thejson, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Arizona has been a profitable team to back on the run line as underdogs, with a 36-24 record. Their overall run line record is 57-55, and they have a positive run differential both at home and on the road. The Diamondbacks have won six straight series and are 8-2 in their last 10 games, including a series win vs. the Pirates.
For the season, Arizona’s games have averaged 9.9 runs, and their over/under record is 61-48. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 22-15. The Diamondbacks are currently 5.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, with an overall record of 60-52.
Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Right-hander Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces off against the Guardians on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.56 ERA. Gallen’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25. In his last outing, he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Gallen has been much better at home this season, coming in with a 3.72 ERA compared to 3.69 on the road.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. As a team, they are also 10th in home runs.
Ketel Marte has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/38 in his last 10 games with six homers and 16 RBIs. This has pushed his season batting average to .300, and his 77 RBIs is the 8th best mark in the league. Marte is also on a six-game hitting streak. Christian Walker is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 23 homers.
The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Guardians will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 9-5 loss. Cleveland was the +111 underdog at home going into this game. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Orioles scored a run in the top of the first.
Gavin Williams had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on eight hits and issuing two walks. He also only lasted four innings, taking the loss. The Guardians’s offense scored their other four runs in the 3rd inning but didn’t have another run after that.
Cleveland enters today’s game with a 67-44 record, leading the AL Central by 4.5 games over the Twins. The Guardians have won two straight series on the road and are 6-4 in their last 10 games, but they lost the final two games of their series against the Orioles.
As the favorite, the Guardians are 48-23 straight up this season, but they are 24-28 against the run line at home. The over has hit in their last four games, and their overall over/under record is 54-51. Today’s O/U line is 8.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that total is 15-13.
Logan Allen Gets The Start For The Guardians
Logan Allen gets the start for the Guardians today and will be looking to build off his last outing, where he finished with a no-decision. Against the Giants on July 6th, he went 4 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs. Looking back further, Allen has made 18 starts and has a record of 8-4. His ERA for the season is 5.67, along with a WHIP of 1.55. Opposing batters are hitting .284 off Allen this season. In his 18 starts, Allen has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.83 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed 18 home runs and is averaging 3.61 walks per nine innings.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
The Guardians come into today’s game as one of the top-scoring offenses in the league, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 4.9 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of avoiding strikeouts. One area where they have struggled is in terms of their batting average on balls in play, as their team BABIP of .28 is 23rd in the MLB.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 29 homers are 4th in the league, and Naylor’s 24 long balls are 8th. Ramirez also has 93 RBIs, which is 2nd in the league, while Naylor is 5th with 80 RBIs. Naylor has been hot of late, going 8/19 with two homers over his last five games.
Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction
The best way to play this Diamondbacks vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line, where they are currently at +105. Our predicted final score is 7-6 in favor of the Guardians, giving us some room to take them on the money line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Zac Gallen going six innings and finishing with six strikeouts. As for Logan Allen, we have him going six innings and finishing with five strikeouts.
Offensively, the Diamondbacks lineup is projected to have a big day, with them being one of the top teams in terms of home runs. As for the Guardians, they are also projected to have a strong offensive showing, with them being one of the top teams in terms of home runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 5, 2024 Diamondbacks, Guardians