Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 8/7/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (61-52) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (67-45) on Wednesday, August 7th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-101)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Guardians have scored an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last 15 home games.
  • The Guardians have won 6 out of their last 10 games, showing a positive trend in recent performance.
  • The Guardians have a strong home record with 35 wins and 18 losses, indicating a significant home-field advantage.
  • The Guardians have outscored their opponents by a total of 20 runs in their last 5 home games.
  • The Guardians have a higher league rank (1st in AL Central) compared to the Diamondbacks (5th in NL West), indicating overall better performance this season.

Diamondbacks vs Guardians

arizona diamondbacks nba

It was a back-and-forth game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Guardians series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight favorites at -120 and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Diamondbacks had to rally late, as they scored the game’s final run in the 10th inning.

Cleveland wasted a good outing from Logan Allen, as he gave up just two earned runs in five innings of work for the Guardians. Emmanuel Clase took the loss. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Zac Gallen went seven innings, giving up five earned runs.

Offensively, the Diamondbacks actually had two fewer hits than the Guardians in the game and struck out six more times. Arizona’s top hitter was Gabriel Moreno, who went 2/2 with a home run. Joc Pederson and Josh Bell each drove in two for the Diamondbacks’ offense.

Arizona has been playing well lately, winning eight of their last 10 games and taking the first game of this series vs. the Guardians. They are 61-52 overall, 4 games behind the Padres for the second Wild Card spot and 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West.

The Diamondbacks have a 33-20 record as favorites straight up, but they are 21-32 vs. the run line in that role. As underdogs, they have a 36-24 run line record. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game this season, resulting in a 62-48 over/under record. Today’s O/U line of 7.5 runs is low compared to their usual lines, as 85% of their games have had higher totals.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Brandon Pfaadt is starting for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 5-6 with a 3.98 ERA. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.13. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back further, Pfaadt has turned in a quality start in 11 of his outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.09 strikeouts and just 1.92 walks.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks have been one of the best home run hitting teams in the league this season and have the 4th best team batting average in the league.

Ketel Marte comes into the game with a seven-game hitting streak and has been hot of late, going 4/5 with four homers over his last five games. For the season, he is batting .300 with 28 homers and 78 RBIs. Christian Walker is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he has 23 homers this season, which is 8th in the league.

Cleveland is 67-45 overall, leading the AL Central by four games over the Twins, but they have dropped three straight games. The Guardians are 19-15 in AL Central matchups this year and have an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game. Against the run line, they are 56-56 overall, with a 31-28 record on the road and 25-28 at home. As the underdog, they are 24-17 vs. the run line, while as the favorite, they are 32-39.

For the season, Cleveland’s games have averaged 8.6 runs, and their over/under record is 55-51. The over is on a 5-game streak for the Guardians. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and 65.2% of their games have had over/under lines higher than that.

Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians

Guardians starter Ben Lively will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win. Against the Orioles on August 1st, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and one homer. Looking at his overall numbers, Lively has made 19 starts, and his record for the season is 10-6. Lively’s ERA is 3.42, along with a WHIP of 1.15. Opposing batters have a batting average of .226 off the right-hander. This year, he has turned in seven quality starts, and his ERA at home is 2.72 compared to 4.13 on the road.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Jose Ramirez has been on fire for the Guardians, going 14/37 with five homers over his last 10 games. He is currently 2nd in the league with 94 RBIs and is also 4th in the league with 29 homers. Josh Naylor is also having a good season for the Guardians, as his 81 RBIs are 5th in the league, and he has 24 homers.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and are 5th in the league in home runs. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 13th in the league.

Diamondbacks vs Guardians Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians. With the Guardians’ money line sitting at +101, we see this as a great value pick, as they are projected to win and you would be getting a better payout than the Diamondbacks (-118).

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ben Lively is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is better than Brandon Pfaadt, who is projected to finish with just four. In terms of the offenses, the Guardians are predicted to finish with 11 hits compared to the Diamondbacks with eight.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.