Arizona Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 9/21/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (86-68) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (88-66) on Saturday, September 21st. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Brewers (-113)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Brewers have a home record of 44-32, indicating strong performance at home.
  • In their last 15 games, the Brewers have scored 5 or more runs in 6 games, showing offensive capability.
  • The Brewers have won 3 out of their last 4 home games, demonstrating recent home-field advantage.
  • Against the Diamondbacks in the last 15 games, the Brewers have won 3 out of 5 matchups.
  • The Brewers have a better overall league rank (3rd) compared to the Diamondbacks (5th), indicating a stronger season performance.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers

arizona diamondbacks nba

It was all Arizona in the last game of this series, as the Diamondbacks took down the Brewers by a score of 7-4. The D-backs offense only had two more hits than the Brewers and struck out nine times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -132 on the money line.

Milwaukee wasted a good outing from Colin Rea, as he gave up just three earned runs in four innings of work for the Brewers. D.L. Hall took the loss. Zac Gallen got the win for Arizona, going five innings and giving up four earned runs.

William Contreras hit the game’s only home run while going 4/5 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Ketel Marte did a bit of everything for the D-backs, going 3/4 with a home run and two RBIs.

Arizona has been a strong road favorite this season, posting a 16-11 record in that role. Overall, they are 44-35 on the road and trail the Dodgers by six games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are 86-68 and are two games behind the Padres for 2nd place in the division.

Against the run line, the Diamondbacks are 80-74 overall and have covered the run line in their last three road games. Their O/U record in games with an 8.5 run total is 34-19 this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, and the combined run average for both teams is 10.4 runs per game.

Merrill Kelly Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Right-hander Merrill Kelly is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Brewers on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 4.00. Kelly has turned in five quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Rockies, he gave up two homers. Kelly has not taken a loss since August 8th and has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona’s offense has been the best in the league this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 5.8 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB.

Over the last nine games, Ketel Marte has gone 10/31 with three home runs, while Eugenio Suarez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/36 with two homers. Suarez is also on a four-game hitting streak. For the season, Suarez has a team-high 97 RBIs and is batting .256. Marte has 33 homers this season, which is good for 10th in the league.

As underdogs, the Brewers have a 37-30 record this season, but they have struggled as favorites, going 34-53. Their overall series record this year is 28-17-4, and they have won three straight series. The Brewers lead the NL Central by nine games over the Cubs, with an 88-66 record.

This season, the Brewers have played 30 games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, resulting in a 30-24 O/U record. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and the combined run average for both teams is 8.8 runs per game. Milwaukee’s overall record is 44-32 at home and 44-34 on the road.

Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Brewers

Through 29 starts, Aaron Civale has a record of 7-8 and an ERA of 4.48. This season, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 8.48 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Civale pitched well, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. He picked up the win in that start. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .255 off Civale this season. For the year, he has allowed 27 home runs. At home, his ERA is 3.45 compared to 6.61 on the road.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

milwaukee brewers

William Contreras and Willy Adames have been the Brewers’ top power threats this season, as Adames’ 32 homers are 1st on the team and 11th in the league, and Contreras is 3rd on the team with 23 homers. Adames’ 109 RBIs are 4th in the league, and Contreras has 92 RBIs, which is 2nd on the team. Rhys Hoskins has struggled with a batting average of just .212, but he does have 25 homers.

Garrett Mitchell has been swinging a hot bat for the Brewers of late, going 8/29 with three homers over his last nine games. As a team, the Brewers are 7th in runs per game at 4.8 and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction

Our pick for this Diamondbacks vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line at -113. We have the Brewers winning this game by a score of 6-5, which gives us some wiggle room with the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Merrill Kelly is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 15th among starters today. As for Aaron Civale, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 13th among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.