The Arizona Diamondbacks (38-39) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (50-26) on Sunday, June 23rd. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on None. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 10:35 CT.
Diamondbacks vs Phillies
Philadelphia cruised to an easy 12-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -268 on the money line.
Zack Wheeler pitched well for the Phillies in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t issue a single walk. Tommy Henry struggled on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up six runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
Bryce Harper and Nick Castellanos each homered for the Phillies, while David Dahl went 1/1 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Alec Bohm also had a two RBI game at the plate.
Arizona is 38-39 overall and trails the Dodgers by nine games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks have gone 15-12 against other teams in their division. Arizona is on the road today, and they are 19-21 on the road this year.
As the road underdog, the Diamondbacks have gone 15-16 this year. They have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 20-16. Arizona’s overall series record is 10-11-3, and they have won three straight series.
When the Diamondbacks win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, averaging a run differential of +4.3 runs per game. However, when they lose, they tend to lose by a wide margin, averaging a run differential of -4.2 runs per game. Overall, their run differential is exactly even at 0.0 runs per game. They have a run line record of 37-40 on the season, and they are 21-19 against the run line on the road.
The Diamondbacks are on the road against the Phillies today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. Arizona’s games have averaged exactly 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record for the year is 37-38. When the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, their record is 3-6. Only 7.8% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 9.5 runs.
Slade Cecconi Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Right-hander Slade Cecconi gets the start for the Diamondbacks today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made nine starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.90 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .252 this season off Cecconi, and his ERA at home is 14.33 compared to 3.59 on the road. In his most recent outing, he pitched well, going six innings and not giving up a run. He got the win in that outing. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They are also near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging. The Diamondbacks have been a good home run hitting team this season, but their team total of 77 is just 14th in the league.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the Diamondbacks’ top power hitters this season, as Walker’s 17 homers is 8th in the league, and Marte has gone deep 15 times. Walker is also 10th in the league with 50 RBIs. However, Walker has hit just .235 over his last eight games, and Marte is batting .277 for the season.
With an overall record of 50-26, the Phillies lead the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies have gone 12-6 against other teams in the NL East. At home, the Phillies are 30-12 this season and 20-14 on the road. They have been really good in night games, going 34-13 this season.
Philadelphia has gone 44-20 as the favorite this season and 29-10 as the favorite at home. As for their overall record in series, the Phillies are 15-7-4 this year. Looking at their recent games, the Phillies are 4-6 over their last 10, and they dropped the most recent game of this series vs. the Diamondbacks.
When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. When they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.1 runs per game. As a result, they are 40-36 on the run line this season, including 22-20 at home. They are 18-16 on the run line on the road and 34-30 as the favorite.
The Philadelphia Phillies are at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and the Over/Under line for today’s game is set at 9.5 runs. The combined run average for Phillies games this season is 8.7, and their Over/Under record is 33-38. The average Over/Under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 2-4. Only 5.3% of their games this season have had higher Over/Under lines than 9.5 runs, with 86.8% of their games having lower lines.
Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 14 starts this year and has a record of 4-3 with an ERA of 2.91. He most recently faced the Padres on June 17th, where he picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up two runs. One of the runs was earned, and he gave up six hits and a walk in the outing. Sánchez has made seven starts at home, and his ERA is 1.89 compared to 4.55 on the road. Overall, he has turned in seven quality starts this year and is averaging 7.68 strikeouts per nine innings.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, the Phillies are batting .258, which is the 3rd best mark in the league, and are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. The Phillies have been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season.
Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber have been swinging the bat well of late, with Bohm going 14/34 in his last eight games and Schwarber going 10/30 with four homers in that stretch. Bryce Harper is also on a seven-game hitting streak and is 7th in the league with 18 homers. Harper’s 51 RBIs is 9th best in the MLB, and he is batting .294 for the season.
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction
Our prediction for the Diamondbacks vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies to pick up the win at -204. However, we see there being better value on the under, with the line sitting at 9.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Phillies.
If you’re looking for a potential parlay option, you could look to pair a Phillies win with an under on the run line. As for the starting pitchers, we have Christopher Sanchez going five innings, while Slade Cecconi is projected to go just two.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 24, 2024 Diamondbacks, Phillies