The Arizona Diamondbacks (58-51) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (55-53) on Friday, August 2nd. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (+113)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- In the last 15 games, the Pirates have scored 5 or more runs in 9 games, showing strong offensive performance.
- The Pirates have won 4 out of their last 5 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
- In their last series against the Diamondbacks, the Pirates won 2 out of 3 games, demonstrating recent success against this opponent.
- The Pirates have a balanced record of 5-5 in their last 10 games, showing they can compete consistently.
- The Pirates have outscored their opponents by a total of 14 runs in their last 15 games, indicating effective run production.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates
The Diamondbacks Are Coming Off A Win
The Diamondbacks’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Nationals, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Nationals in the top of the 4th, the Diamondbacks responded with four runs of their own. Arizona went on to add another run in the 6th inning.
Zac Gallen put together a good start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. He also issued only one walk and struck out six Nationals batters. Jake McCarthy was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.
Arizona, who is on a three-game winning streak, trails the Padres by a half-game for the 2nd spot in the NL West and are five games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. The Diamondbacks’ O/U record this season is 59-47, and the over has hit in 5 straight games for them.
As underdogs, the Diamondbacks have a 35-23 run line record and a 27-31 straight-up record. Overall, they have a 56-53 run line record, and their average run margin in winning games is +4.3.
Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Brandon Pfaadt is looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Pirates and picked up the win. In that July 27th start, he went six innings and gave up five earned runs. Looking at his overall numbers, Pfaadt has made 21 starts, has a record of 5-6, and an ERA of 3.92. Opponents have hit .234 off the right-hander this season. Pfaadt has turned in 11 quality starts and is averaging 8.19 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has given up 15 homers. Per nine innings, he is issuing just 1.92 walks.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona comes into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 2nd in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per game. As a team, the Diamondbacks are batting .258, which is 4th in the league, and also have the 4th best on-base percentage in the league. They also have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league.
Over his last 10 games, Eugenio Suarez has been on fire for the Diamondbacks, going 14/38 with six homers and 11 RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .302. Ketel Marte and Christian Walker have also been big run producers for the Diamondbacks, as Marte’s 72 RBIs are 10th in the league, and Walker is right behind him with 71.
The Pirates Took The Last Game Of This Series
Pittsburgh is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 5-4 loss to Houston, Jake Woodford was excellent on the mound, allowing no runs and just two hits. They also got a big offensive performance from Joey Bart, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Colin Holderman took the loss out of the bullpen for the Pirates, as Pittsburgh allowed two runs in the bottom of the 9th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Pirates were at +194 on the money line.
As underdogs, the Pirates have a 32-33 record, while they are 23-20 when favored. Their overall run line record is 61-47, and they have gone under the run line in three straight games as underdogs. The over/under record for Pirates games this season is 50-57, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game.
Currently, the Pirates are six games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, with a 55-53 record. They are 17-15 in divisional games and have an overall series record of 16-14-5. Pittsburgh is coming off a series win against the Astros, taking two out of three games.
Luis L. Ortiz Gets The Start For The Pirates
Luis L. Ortiz gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. So far this season, he has made 27 appearances and five starts. Ortiz’s record for the season is 5-2, and he comes in with an ERA of 2.75. In his 78 2/3 innings of work, Ortiz has issued 24 walks and has a WHIP of 1.14. Looking back at his last outing, Ortiz finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone 7 innings without giving up an earned run. Ortiz has made three quality starts this year.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. At home, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per contest, and their team batting average of .232 is also one of the worst marks in the league. However, they do have two guys with 18 homers and another with 17. Bryan Reynolds has been a bright spot for the team, as he is batting .285 for the season and has 61 RBIs.
Oneil Cruz and Bryan De La Cruz are two of the Pirates’ top power threats, but both have struggled at the plate of late. Oneil Cruz is just 5/25 in his last six games, and Bryan De La Cruz is batting .248 for the season and has gone just 3/20 in his last six games. Joey Bart has been hot of late, going 8/20 in his last six games.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction
Given that the Pirates are the underdogs at +113, they are our recommended pick in this one. We have the Pirates winning by a score of 6-5, and with the Pirates’ money line, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis L. Ortiz is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is 18th among starters in terms of strikeout projections. As for Brandon Pfaadt, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and he is 20th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 2, 2024 Diamondbacks, Pirates