The Arizona Diamondbacks (59-52) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-54) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Pirates are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (+134)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Diamondbacks have won 8 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent performance.
- In their last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 10 games, showcasing consistent offensive production.
- In the last 15 games, the Diamondbacks have a 5-2 record in away games, demonstrating their ability to win on the road.
- In the last 3 head-to-head games against the Pirates, the Diamondbacks have won 2 out of 3 games, showing a favorable matchup.
- The Diamondbacks have a higher league rank (6th) compared to the Pirates (9th), indicating overall better performance this season.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates
Pittsburgh picked up a 4-2 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Pirates had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Pirates were favored at -117 on the money line.
Mitch Keller only went four innings for the Pirates but didn’t give up a run and picked up four strikeouts. Kyle Nicolas got the win out of the bullpen, and David Bednar got the save. Jordan Montgomery struggled on the mound for the Diamondbacks, giving up one run in just three innings of work.
Joey Bart and Bryan Reynolds each had two RBIs for the Pirates’ offense. Geraldo Perdomo had a three-hit game for the Diamondbacks.
Arizona has won five straight series and is looking to take the series lead over the Pirates today, as the series is tied 1-1. The Diamondbacks are 59-52 overall and are 5.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West, sitting in 3rd place between the Padres and Giants.
Against the run line, Arizona is 31-24 on the road and 35-24 as the underdog. Overall, the Diamondbacks have played to a 60-48 over/under record, with an average of 9.9 runs per game. Heading into today’s game, the Diamondbacks have a scoring margin of +0.4 runs per game this season.
Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Ryne Nelson will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that July 30th start vs. the Nationals, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a homer. Looking back over his last three outings, Nelson has given up a homer in each of them. Nelson’s ERA for the season is 4.53, along with a record of 8-6. Opponents have hit .281 off Nelson this year. So far, he has made seven quality starts and is averaging 6.75 strikeouts per nine innings.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is the 2nd best mark in the MLB. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. The Diamondbacks are also among the league leaders in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Arizona’s offense has been especially hot of late, with Ketel Marte batting .417 over his last 10 games with six homers and 16 RBIs.
For the season, Marte is batting .302 with 26 homers and 75 RBIs, which are all team-leading marks. Christian Walker is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 23 homers is 2nd on the team and 10th best in the league. Walker comes into the game with a season-long batting average of .254.
This season, the Pirates have an overall series record of 16-14-5 and a 63-47 run line record. As the underdog, they are 46-20 ATS, and they have covered the run line in their last three home games and two straight overall. Pittsburgh is 56-54 overall and trails the Brewers by six games in the NL Central.
When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, the Pirates have gone 11-13 this season. Their games with over/under lines of 8 runs or higher have accounted for 52.7% of their total games, and their overall O/U record is 51-58.
Paul Skenes Gets The Start For The Pirates
Right-hander Paul Skenes gets the start for the Pirates today as he faces the Diamondbacks at home. Skenes has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 6-1 with a 1.90 ERA. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in 11 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Skenes finished with a no-decision against the Astros, giving up one earned run in six innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Skenes’ ERA at home is 3.02 compared to 1.0 on the road.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the league. At home, they have been even worse, averaging just 4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .233 and are near the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage and slugging. One positive for the Pirates is that they have the 13th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 19 homers and De La Cruz right behind him at 18. Reynolds also comes into the game with a team-best 65 RBIs and is batting .287. De La Cruz has hit just .243 this season. Joey Bart and Oneil Cruz have both been swinging the bat well of late, with Bart hitting .355 over his last nine games, and Cruz is batting .308 over his last 10 games.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction
Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Pirates matchup is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, with the payout sitting at +134. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a score of 6-4.
Looking at some of the key stats, we have the Diamondbacks finishing with 10 hits compared to the Pirates with eight. The Pirates are also projected to finish with just four runs, which is the 21st best among all teams today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 4, 2024 Diamondbacks, Pirates