Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Prediction 7/7/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (44-45) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (49-44) on Sunday, July 7th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 3:10  CT.

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Padres (-160)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Padres have won 10 out of their last 15 games.
  • Padres have scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in their last 15 games.
  • Padres have a home record of 25-23, while the Diamondbacks have an away record of 22-24.
  • Padres have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • Padres have won 4 out of their last 5 head-to-head games against the Diamondbacks.

Diamondbacks vs Padres

arizona diamondbacks nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Padres series. Arizona went into the matchup as +111 underdogs and squeaked out a 7-5 win. The Diamondbacks offense only had two more hits than the Padres and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a win.

San Diego wasted a good outing from Matt Waldron, as he gave up just three earned runs in six innings of work for the Padres. Wandy Peralta took the loss. Ryan Thompson got the win out of the bullpen for the Diamondbacks as Brandon Pfaadt went just 4 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run.

Ha-Seong Kim had a three-hit game for the Padres, while Donovan Solano went 2/5 with two RBIs. Jake Cronenworth also had two hits and drove in a run for San Diego’s offense.

Arizona has a 44-45 record this season and is 10.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Their series record is 12-13-2, and they have won two straight series. The Diamondbacks are 22-24 on the road and have a +4.3 average run margin in wins.

As underdogs, the Diamondbacks are 28-21 against the run line, but as favorites, they are 16-24. Their over/under record is 46-41, and the over has hit in five straight games. Today’s O/U line is set at 8 runs, and the average runs per game in their matchups this season is 9.8.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson is looking to build off his last outing, where he came out of the bullpen and put together a solid performance. Against the Dodgers on July 2nd, he went five innings, giving up just one earned run. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Looking back at his starts, Nelson has been up and down. He has made 13 starts and has a record of 5-6 with a 5.42 ERA. Nelson’s WHIP for the season is 1.56, and opponents are batting .312 off the right-hander this year. So far, he has turned in four quality starts.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

Arizona’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 7th in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .254, which is the 6th best mark in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging. Arizona also has the 5th best BABIP in the league.

Christian Walker has been on a tear for the Diamondbacks, going 15/30 with five homers over his last seven games. For the season, he is 6th in the league with 64 RBIs and has a team-high 22 homers. Ketel Marte is also having a strong season, batting .284 with 17 homers.

San Diego is 49-44 overall and has won four straight series. They are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres are 15-16 in divisional games and have an overall series record of 17-10-2. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while it is -3.4 in losing games.

As underdogs, the Padres are 21-18 straight up and 28-11 against the run line. Overall, their O/U record is 50-42, with games averaging 9.0 runs per game. Their games have gone over the total in two straight, and the O/U line of 8 runs has hit 41.9% of the time.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rangers, as he gave up six earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work. In that outing, he also gave up two home runs. Cease’s record for the season is 7-7, and he has an ERA of 4.24. Looking at his home/away splits, Cease has a record of 4-3 on the road with a 5.99 ERA. At home, he is 3-4 with a 3.84 ERA. Cease has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 11.47 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has 130 strikeouts, which ranks fourth in the majors.

Padres Offense Breakdown

san diego padres

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are 11th in the league in scoring, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been a very consistent offense this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game at home and 4.7 on the road. As a team, the Padres are batting .264, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. They also have the 2nd fewest strikeouts in the league and have been very good in terms of getting on base, as they have the 4th best OBP in the league.

Jurickson Profar has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 13 homers are the 2nd most in the league. He also comes into the game with a 4-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 6/19 with two homers. Over his last five games, Profar has three RBIs. Fernando Tatis Jr. has also been a big power threat for the Padres, as his 14 homers are the best on the team and 13th in the MLB.

Diamondbacks vs Padres Prediction

There are a few ways you could play this game, but we are going to keep it simple and take the Padres on the money line at -160. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us some room to take the Padres on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for eighth among all starters. As for Ryne Nelson, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is fourth worst among all starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.