Arizona Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 4/28/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (12-16) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (15-12) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Diamondbacks vs Mariners

arizona diamondbacks nba

Seattle picked up a 3-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 7th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Mariners were favored at -153 on the money line.

George Kirby pitched well for the Mariners in this one, going seven innings and striking out 12 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Andrés Muñoz closed things out. Slade Cecconi had a good outing for the Diamondbacks in the loss.

Ty France and Luke Raley each had two RBIs for the Mariners’ offense. France and Mitch Haniger were the only two Mariners hitters to have more than one hit.

Arizona is looking to snap a three-game losing streak today as they take on the Mariners. The Diamondbacks are 12-16 overall and trail the Dodgers by 5.5 games in the NL West. So far, they have gone 7-4 in divisional matchups.

On the road, the Diamondbacks have dropped three straight, and they are just 3-7 as the road underdog this year. Arizona’s overall series record is 3-4-1, and they lost the first two games of this series vs. the Mariners. This year, they are 8-7 as the favorite and 4-9 when favored.

Arizona has been a tough team to figure out on the run line this season, as they have a losing record overall at 13-15. They have been a better bet at home, where they are 7-6, compared to just 6-9 on the road. The Diamondbacks have been favored in 15 of their 28 games, going 6-9 in those contests. They have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game on the road this season, compared to 1.8 runs per game at home.

Arizona’s over/under record is 12-15, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs. The over/under line in 82.1% of their games has been higher than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 1-3. Their games have gone under the total in their last three games, and their last game finished with a combined total of 4 runs.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Brandon Pfaadt and the Diamondbacks are on the road to take on the Mariners. Pfaadt has started 3 games this season and has yet to pick up a win. He is coming off a no-decision vs. the Cardinals, where he went 5 1/3 innings and gave up 2 earned runs.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Diamondbacks are averaging 5.4 runs per game, which is 4th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 7th in the league, and are also among the league leaders in home runs. Arizona’s offense has been led by Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Ketel Marte, who are both among the league leaders in RBIs and home runs.

Christian Walker is currently on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 9/32 in his last nine games with a home run and six RBIs. Blaze Alexander has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 6/17 in his last five games with a home run and six RBIs. Gurriel Jr. has also been hot, going 10/32 in his last seven games.

Seattle’s overall record is 15-12 heading into today’s matchup at home vs. the Diamondbacks. They have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Diamondbacks and won the final game of their series vs. the Rangers. Currently, they lead the AL West by 1.5 games over the Rangers.

The Mariners have been the favorite in 17 of their games, and they are 11-6 in those contests. As for playing at home, they are 7-5 as the favorite. Seattle’s overall series record is 3-4-1 this year, and they have won three straight series overall.

Seattle is 13-14 on the run line this season, including a 7-8 mark at home. The Mariners have covered the run line in five straight games at home and are 8-9 against the run line as the favorite this season. Their average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it’s -3.3 in losses.

The Mariners have gone under the total in five straight games, and their over/under record for the season is 7-18. Their games have had an average of 7.1 runs per game, and the over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs. So far this season, 51.9% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs.

Logan Gilbert Gets The Start For The Mariners

Logan Gilbert has started the season with a 2-0 record, and he’ll be taking on the Diamondbacks at home. Gilbert has been very solid in his first two starts, as he has a 1.42 ERA and has struck out 14 batters in 13 innings. He has yet to give up a home run this season and is coming off a 6 2/3 inning outing vs. the Rangers in which he struck out 6.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

For the season, the Mariners are averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. At home, they are even worse, averaging only 3.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .221 and have the league’s 25th ranked strikeout rate. However, they do come into the game with the 6th most home runs in the league.

Julio Rodríguez has been swinging the bat well of late, going 7/22 in his last six games, including one home run. For the season, he is batting .276 with one homer. Cal Raleigh has also gone deep once in his last five games, but he is just 4/19 in that stretch. Raleigh is the team’s home run leader, with six homers, but is batting just .235 for the season.

 

Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction

 

Our predicted final score for this Diamondbacks vs. Mariners matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Mariners. With the money line sitting at -144 for the Mariners, this is the route we recommend going. We do have this game going over the 7.5 run line, but with our predicted score, we would stick with the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Gilbert is projected to go the longest out of any starter today, and his 2nd worst projected hits allowed is also a good sign for him. As for Brandon Pfaadt, we do like his projected strikeout numbers, but he is projected to go just five innings, and his predicted earned runs are higher than Gilbert’s.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.