Arizona Diamondbacks vs STL Cardinals MLB betting prediction

MLB: Diamondbacks vs STL Cardinals Prediction 4/22/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (11-12) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (9-13) on Monday, April 22nd. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 7:45 ET.

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals

arizona diamondbacks nba

Heading into their last game vs. the Giants, the Diamondbacks closed out the series with a 5-3 win. Arizona was the +115 underdog on the money line going into San Francisco. It was a big 2nd inning for the Diamondbacks, as they scored their first run of the game and added three more runs in the 2nd. Arizona’s offense was carried by Gabriel Moreno, who went 2/3 with two RBIs.

Slade Cecconi got the start for the Diamondbacks, going six innings and giving up just two runs on two hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

After taking their series with the Giants, the Diamondbacks are in 3rd place in the NL West, trailing the Padres by half a game and the Dodgers by 1. Arizona has an overall record of 11-12. Looking at their overall series record, the Diamondbacks are 3-3-1 this season.

At home, the Diamondbacks have gone 7-6, and they are just below .500 on the road at 4-6. Arizona got their series with the Giants with a win in the final game. This came after losing two straight as the favorite.

When the Diamondbacks are favored, they are 6-8 on the run line, and when they are the underdog, they are 6-3. They are 5-5 on the run line on the road, and their average run margin is 1.2 runs per game. They are 12-11 on the run line overall, and their average run margin in winning games is 5.4 runs per game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have had a combined run average of 10.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 11-11. The average over/under line in their games is 9 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 2-2. Overall, 65.2% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Brandon Pfaadt is on the mound for the Diamondbacks today against the Cardinals. This is his first road start of the season. Pfaadt has a win and a loss in his first two starts, and he is coming off a 7-strikeout performance in which he went 7 innings and gave up 6 hits.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

For the Diamondbacks, we like Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to have a strong game at the plate. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 17th highest in the league today. Gurriel Jr. also has the best odds to hit a home run for the Diamondbacks, with his home run projection being 10th best in the league. Ketel Marte is also projected to have a solid game, as his total hits projection is 14th best in the league today.

The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Brewers with a 2-0 loss. St. Louis was the heavy favorite at -165 at home but couldn’t get anything going offensively, as the Brewers only scored two runs on six hits. Sonny Gray took the loss but pitched well, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out 12.

St. Louis’s offense was held scoreless, and their only bright spot was a 2nd inning double by Sonny Gray. The Cardinals had six hits but didn’t have any timely hitting, as they didn’t score a run. Gray also had a good day at the plate, going 2 for 3.

As the Cardinals are at home today vs. the Diamondbacks, they are looking to snap a four-game losing streak, as they are currently 9-13 this season. In the NL Central, they are in 5th place and trail the Brewers by six games.

So far, the Cardinals have really struggled in day games, going 2-9. And as the underdog, they are 5-8 this season compared to 4-5 as the favorite. At home, they are 3-6 and just above .500 at 6-7 on the road.

St. Louis has been a slight underdog in most games this season, and they’ve been a good bet to cover the run line in those games, going 9-4. They’ve been even better on the road, going 7-6. The average run margin in their losses is -3.2, while it’s +2.4 in their wins.

So far this season, the Cardinals have played 21 games with an average combined run total of 7.8. Their over/under record is 8-13, and the average over/under line in their games has been 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-4. In total, they have played three games with an over/under line set higher than 8.5 runs, which accounts for 13.6% of their games.

Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Lance Lynn is starting for the Cardinals today, and he has been solid in his first two outings of the season. Lynn picked up a win in his last start, going 7 innings and giving up 2 runs on 5 hits. He also has 6 strikeouts in his first 12 innings of work this season.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

When looking at the Cardinals’ offensive projections, we see that Brendan Donovan is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but his hits projection is 15th best in the league today. Nolan Gorman is not far behind, as he has the best odds to hit a home run for the Cardinals and his home run projection is 8th best in the league. Willson Contreras is another player to keep an eye on, as he has the 11th best odds to hit a home run in today’s slate of games.

 

Diamondbacks vs Cardinals Prediction

 

Our pick for today’s Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals game is to take the Diamondbacks on the money line, with the payout being -110. We have the Diamondbacks winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Lance Lynn is projected to finish with five strikeouts, while Brandon Pfaadt is also projected to finish with five K’s. However, we have Pfaadt finishing with a better ERA than Lynn.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.