San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/4/2024

The San Diego Padres (17-18) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-19) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 8:10 ET.

Padres vs Diamondbacks

san diego padres nba

San Diego cruised to a 7-1 win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -116.

Dylan Cease pitched well for the Padres in this one, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but did not factor in the decision. Mark Melancon got the win out of the bullpen. Slade Cecconi had a rough outing for the Diamondbacks, giving up six runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Fernando Tatis Jr. and Jake Cronenworth each homered for the Padres. Tatis, Manny Machado, and Tyler Wade each had two RBIs. On the other side, Pavin Smith went 2/3 with an RBI for the Diamondbacks.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Diamondbacks, the Padres are 17-18 overall, and they trail the Dodgers by 4.5 games in the NL West. San Diego has won three straight games, which is a nice change after dropping six of their previous seven games. So far, they are 9-8 in divisional matchups.

The Padres have struggled at home this year, going 8-12, but they have been better on the road at 9-6. As the underdog, San Diego has an overall record of 5-8 this year, and they are 5-4 as the road underdog. As for their series record, the Padres are 5-5-2 this year.

The Padres are 18-17 against the run line this season, and they are 12-3 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog and are 8-5 overall in that situation. San Diego’s average run margin in winning games is 3.5, while it is -3.0 in losses.

The Padres have played 34 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs or more in just four of those contests. The over/under record for the Padres this season is 18-16, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.0 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Diamondbacks is set at 9 runs.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Diamondbacks on the road. So far, he has made six starts and two of them have been quality starts. King’s record for the season is 2-3, and he most recently took the loss on April 28th, where he gave up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking back across his last three starts, King has given up at least four earned runs in each outing. His ERA for the season is 5.00, along with a WHIP of 1.47. Opposing batters are hitting .224 off King this season.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego’s offense has been one of the best in the league so far, averaging 4.9 runs per game (7th) and batting a collective .252, which is the 5th best mark in the league. They have also been a good home run hitting team, as their 37 homers are 6th in the league. The Padres have also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they have the 10th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth have been two of the Padres’ top hitters this season, with Profar batting .333 and Cronenworth at .279. Cronenworth has been hot of late, going 13/35 in his last nine games with three homers and 11 RBIs. Profar has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/37 in his last 10 games.

Arizona is hosting the Padres today with an overall record of 14-19, which has them 4th in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks lost the final game of their series with the Marlins and dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Mets.

At home, the Diamondbacks are 8-9 this year compared to 6-10 on the road. So far, they have gone 8-7 as the favorite and 6-12 as the underdog. Arizona’s overall series record is 3-6-1, and they have dropped three straight series.

Arizona is 15-18 against the run line this season, including an 8-9 mark at home. The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in just six of their 15 games as the favorite. They have been outscored by an average of 3.3 runs in their 18 losses this season.

Arizona’s over/under record for the season is 13-19, and the average over/under line in their games is 9.0 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Padres is set at 9.0 runs. The Diamondbacks have played 11 games with higher over/under lines than 9.0 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 3-4. Their last three games have gone under the over/under line.

Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Brandon Pfaadt is getting the start for the Diamondbacks today and will be facing the Padres at home. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 1-1 with an ERA of 4.63. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and he has turned in two quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Pfaadt finished with a no-decision after going six innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. He pitched well in that outing, finishing with 11 strikeouts. Pfaadt has not allowed a homer in his last two outings.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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Arizona comes into today’s game as one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per game. The Diamondbacks have been one of the better hitting teams in the league so far, with a team batting average of .246 (8th). As a team, they are also 5th in the league in avoiding strikeouts and have the 4th most walks in the league.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/20 in his last six games with three homers and five RBIs. Walker’s seven homers this season is 4th best in the league and is also the best mark on the team. Ketel Marte and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. are also tied for 2nd on the team with five homers. Marte comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak and is batting .308 for the season.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction

For this Padres vs. Diamondbacks matchup, we like the Diamondbacks to pick up the win at home with a final score of 6-5. The money line for the Diamondbacks is at -126, and that is the way we recommend playing this one.

Looking at some potential props, we have Michael King finishing with five strikeouts compared to Brandon Pfaadt with six. As for team projections, the Diamondbacks are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Padres with nine.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.