The San Diego Padres (55-50) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (61-41) on Friday, July 26th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:05 CT.
Padres vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-203)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
- Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games, showing strong offensive potential.
- Orioles have a home record of 30-22, indicating solid performance at home.
- Orioles have a better overall record (61-41) compared to the Padres (55-50), suggesting a stronger season performance.
- Orioles have won 4 of their last 6 home games, demonstrating recent home-field advantage.
- Orioles have a division-leading rank in the AL East, showing they are competitive in a strong division.
Padres vs Orioles
The Padres Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Padres closed out the series with a 3-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -158. Offensively, the Padres scored their three runs on six hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Dylan Cease put together a great start for the Padres, going nine innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three walks and struck out nine Nationals batters. Ha-Seong Kim was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored and three RBIs.
San Diego has been a strong bet on the run line this season, boasting a 55-50 record overall and a 36-15 mark on the road against the run line. As underdogs, they are 31-14 vs. the run line. The Padres are 55-50 straight up and are currently on a five-game winning streak heading into today’s game against the Orioles.
The Padres are 7.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West and have an over/under record of 54-50 this season. Games involving the Padres have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and only 11.4% of their games have had over/under lines of 9 runs or higher. The O/U line for today’s game is set at 9 runs.
Adam Mazur Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Adam Mazur gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 1-3 with a 7.84 ERA. Opponents are batting .304 off Mazur this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.84. In his last outing, Mazur took the loss, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up five earned runs, six hits, and two homers. Per nine innings, he is averaging 5.52 walks compared to 6.1 strikeouts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .262. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league, as they are 10th in the league in home runs. San Diego’s offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been a key power threat for the Padres this season, as he is 13th in the league with 16 home runs. However, he is coming off a stretch in which he has gone just 8/35 in his last eight games. Overall, Profar is batting .299 for the season. Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr. are also near the top of the Padres’ home run leaderboard, with 14 homers apiece.
The Orioles Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Orioles closed out the series with a 7-6 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -212. Offensively, the Orioles scored their seven runs on jsonly 12 hits and three home runs. Anthony Santander went 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles, going 7 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He gave up six hits and issued just one walk. Burnes also had only three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.
Today’s game between the Orioles and Padres has an over/under line of 9 runs, with the over hitting in Baltimore’s last three games. The Orioles are 61-41 overall and lead the AL East by 2 games over the Yankees. They have a 20-9 divisional record and are 30-22 at home and 31-19 on the road.
As favorites, the Orioles have a 49-33 record straight up but are 40-42 against the run line. Their average run margin is +0.5 runs per game at home, and they have an overall series record of 21-9-3. Baltimore is looking to bounce back after losing two straight series at home, including dropping two of three games against the Marlins.
Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles
Grayson Rodriguez gets the start for the Orioles today and comes in with a record of 12-4 and an ERA of 3.83. So far, he has made 18 starts, and opponents are batting .232 this season. Rodriguez has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 10.22 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a 4.88 ERA compared to 3.31 at home.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Orioles are the league’s top power-hitting team, and they have the league’s best team ISO at .198. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. This includes averaging 5.3 runs per game on the road. Baltimore also has the league’s top home run hitter in Gunnar Henderson (28), and Anthony Santander is also tied for 3rd in the league with 28 homers.
Anthony Santander has been on a tear of late, hitting five home runs in his last seven games while going 11/30 (.367). This has pushed his season-long batting average to .245. Santander’s 67 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 9th in the league. Gunnar Henderson and Adley Rutschman are also near the top of the league in RBIs, as Henderson is 13th with 63 and Rutschman is 15th with 61.
Padres vs Orioles Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Orioles, giving us some wiggle room with the line sitting at 9 runs.
If you’re looking for a money line pick, the Orioles are the way to go, and you could look to parlay that with a couple of our player props. One that we like is the Orioles to finish with more home runs than the Padres, as we have them finishing with the most in the league today.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 26, 2024 Orioles, Padres