The San Diego Padres (51-50) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (59-38) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 12:40 CT.
Padres vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-113)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Guardians have a strong home record, winning 31 out of 43 home games this season.
- In the last 15 games, the Guardians have scored 7 or more runs in 5 games, showing a potent offense.
- The Guardians have won 5 out of their last 7 home games, indicating a recent trend of strong home performance.
- The Guardians have a higher league rank (2nd in AL Central) compared to the Padres (9th in NL West), suggesting overall better performance this season.
- The Guardians have outscored their opponents by a combined 24 runs in their last 7 home wins, demonstrating their ability to dominate at home.
Padres vs Guardians
San Diego cruised to a 7-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 4th inning, scoring all seven of their runs. As for the Guardians, they only had one hit and didn’t score a run until the 8th inning.
Dylan Cease started for the Padres and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with 10 strikeouts but did issue one walk. On the other side, Gavin Williams got the start for the Guardians and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.
At the plate, David Peralta and Jake Cronenworth each homered for the Padres. Peralta, Luis Campusano, and Jackson Merrill each had two hits and two RBIs. Xander Bogaerts also had a two-hit game for San Diego.
San Diego has struggled recently, losing seven of their last ten games and three straight series. They are 29-29 as favorites and 22-21 as underdogs. Overall, the Padres are 51-50 and have been a great run line bet, especially on the road, where they are 32-15.
For the season, the over has hit in 53 of the Padres’ 100 games, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. The under has hit in their last two games, and the O/U line for today’s game is set at 8 runs.
Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres
Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Guardians on the road. King has made 19 starts this season and has a record of 7-6 with a 3.40 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, King has a WHIP of 1.23 and opponents are batting .223 this season. King has turned in eight quality starts this year and is averaging 10.46 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, King took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, as they are 2nd in team batting average (.260), and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. San Diego has been one of the league’s toughest teams to strike out, and they also have the 2nd best slugging percentage in the league.
Jurickson Profar and Jake Cronenworth are both among the league leaders in home runs, with 14 and 13, respectively. Profar and Cronenworth are also 1st and 2nd on the team in RBIs. Over his last seven games, Cronenworth has gone 6/26 with two homers, but is batting just .231 in that stretch. Luis Arraez is batting .312 for the season and has gone deep just twice this year.
So far this season, Cleveland has a 59-38 record and is currently leading the AL Central by 5 games over the Twins. As the favorite, they have a 43-21 record, but as the underdog, they are 16-17. Their average run margin in wins is +3.4, but it drops to -3.1 in losses.
Against the run line, the Guardians have a 49-48 record, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the total has been set at more than 8, the over has hit in 46 of their games this season. Currently, Cleveland is on a six-game losing streak as the underdog.
Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending Ben Lively to the mound today vs. the Padres, and he comes into the game with a record of 8-5 and an ERA of 3.58. Lively has made 16 starts this season and has pitched well at home, going 5-0 with a 2.56 ERA. His ERA on the road is 4.39, and he most recently faced the Padres, where he gave up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Lively took the loss in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Per nine innings, Lively is averaging 7.98 strikeouts and 2.56 walks.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 9th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .242, and their team on-base percentage of .315 is 9th in the league. Cleveland’s offense has been led by José Ramírez and Josh Naylor, who have 23 and 22 homers this season, respectively.
Over his last eight games, Angel Martinez has gone just 6/34 at the plate, but he does have two homers during that stretch. Martinez is also on a hitting streak coming into today’s game. As a team, the Guardians are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game.
Padres vs Guardians Prediction
Given the payout, we really like the Guardians to pick up a win at home today. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Guardians, and with the money line sitting at -113, this is the best route to go.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Michael King going five innings and finishing with five strikeouts. As for Ben Lively, we have him going six innings and finishing with four K’s.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 21, 2024 Guardians, Padres