The San Diego Padres (69-54) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (45-78) on Saturday, August 17th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 7:10 CT.
Padres vs. Rockies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Rockies (+173)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 11 Runs
- The Rockies have scored an average of 5.4 runs per game in their last 15 games.
- The Rockies have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- In their last 3 head-to-head games against the Padres, the Rockies have outscored them 14-15.
- The Rockies have a home record of 28-32, while the Padres have an away record of 36-25, indicating a stronger home performance for the Rockies.
- The Rockies have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
Padres vs Rockies
Thanks to a four-run 1st inning for the Rockies’ offense, they cruised to a 7-3 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Rockies were at +139 on the money line.
The Padres wasted a good outing from Matt Waldron, as he gave up just two earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Waldron finished the game with six strikeouts but took the loss.
Cal Quantrill only went five innings for the Rockies but gave up just three earned runs and got the win. He finished the game with five strikeouts.
San Diego has been playing well lately, winning 8 of their last 10 games and taking 8 straight series. Overall, the Padres are 69-54 and are 3 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West standings.
On the run line, the Padres have been strong on the road with a 40-21 record. Their average run margin in wins is 3.7 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 65-57. Today’s O/U line of 11 runs is the highest of the season, with only 1 out of 122 games having a higher total.
Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres
Dylan Cease will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Marlins, as he gets the start for the Padres today. Against the Marlins, Cease took the loss, giving up five runs (two earned) in five innings of work. Before that outing, Cease had picked up the win in two straight starts. His record for the season is 11-9, and Cease’s ERA is 3.41. Out of his 25 starts, Cease has turned in 13 quality starts, one shutout, and one complete game. Cease’s WHIP for the season is 1.01, and he leads the majors in strikeouts with 181.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego comes into today’s game as the top hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They are also one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as their 141 home runs is 12th in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, but they have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.
Jurickson Profar has been a big power threat for the Padres this season, as his 19 homers are the most on the team. He is also hitting .294, which is 4th best on the team. Manny Machado is right behind him in terms of home runs, as he has 18, but is batting just .265. Over the team’s last seven games, Luis Arraez has gone 12/31 with seven runs scored.
Colorado’s over/under record is 62-58 this season, with games averaging 10.2 runs per game. Their over/under record for games with an O/U line of 11 runs is 6-6-1. The Rockies are 33-27 against the run line at home, with an average run margin of -0.8.
Overall, the Rockies are 63-60, and they are 4-6 in their last 10 games. They have yet to play as the favorite this season and have a series record of 9-27-2. Colorado is 5th in the NL West with a 27-game deficit behind the Dodgers.
Kyle Freeland Gets The Start For The Rockies
Kyle Freeland gets the start for the Rockies today and comes in with a record of 3-4 and ERA of 5.75. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and six of them have been quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Freeland finished with a no-decision after giving up three earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of work. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last two outings. The left-hander’s ERA at home is 3.51 compared to 12.12 on the road. Opponents are batting .293 off Freeland this season.
Rockies Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Rockies have been a much better offensive team at home, averaging 5 runs per game compared to just 3.7 on the road. Overall, they are 16th in the MLB at 4.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 11th in the league, and have the 11th best slugging percentage in the league. The Rockies have been one of the worst teams in terms of strikeouts this season and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of drawing walks.
Both Brenton Doyle and Ezequiel Tovar have been good power threats for the Rockies this season, with Doyle leading the team with 20 homers and Tovar right behind him at 19. Tovar comes into the game with a batting average of .272, while Doyle is batting .266. Michael Toglia has also gone deep 19 times this season but is batting just .220.
Padres vs Rockies Prediction
With the money line payout, we see the Rockies at +173 as a great value pick. Our predicted final score is 7-5 in favor of the Rockies, giving us some wiggle room to take them on the money line or even on the run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kyle Freeland is projected to finish with four strikeouts, while Dylan Cease is projected to finish with seven. However, we have Freeland finishing with a better chance of picking up the win and have Cease’s chances as the seventh best among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 17, 2024 Padres, Rockies