San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 8/18/2024

The San Diego Padres (70-54) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (45-79) on Sunday, August 18th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 2:10 CT.

Padres vs. Rockies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Rockies (+171)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 11.5 Runs
  • The Rockies have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 7 home games.
  • The Rockies have won 3 of their last 4 home games against the Padres.
  • The Rockies have a higher home win percentage (45.9%) compared to the Padres’ away win percentage (56.9%).
  • The Rockies have won 2 of their last 3 home games.
  • The Rockies have outscored the Padres 17-13 in their last 3 head-to-head games at home.

Padres vs Rockies

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San Diego cruised to an easy 8-3 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 2nd inning, scoring two of their three runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their only three runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -202 on the money line.

Dylan Cease got the win for the Padres, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued five walks. Kyle Freeland had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.

At the plate, the Padres were led by Luis Campusano and Manny Machado, who each had two hits and two RBIs. Bryce Johnson also had a two-hit game and scored two runs for San Diego’s offense.

San Diego has been impressive as the underdog, boasting a 33-15 run line record and an average run margin of +3.7 runs per game. Overall, their run line record is 65-59, with an average run margin of +0.6 runs per game. The Padres are 70-54 this season, and they have won eight straight series heading into today’s game against the Rockies.

On the road, the Padres have a 37-25 straight-up record, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game this season. The O/U record for Padres games is 66-57, and when the total has been set at 11.5 runs, they have gone under in their lone game with that line.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 5.20. Musgrove’s WHIP for the season is 1.42, and opponents are batting .287 off the right-hander this year. In his 11 starts, Musgrove has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.55 strikeouts per nine innings. Musgrove’s most recent outing came on August 12th, where he didn’t factor into the decision, going 4 1/3 innings and not allowing a run. He has finished with a no-decision in three straight outings.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Padres are the league’s top-hitting team, batting a collective .267. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are 1st in slugging percentage. Overall, they are averaging 4.8 runs per game, but that number jumps to 5.1 on the road. San Diego is also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, coming in 12th in homers.

Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as he leads the team with 19 homers and is batting .293. Over his last nine games, he has gone 13/34 with four homers and 10 RBIs. Luis Arraez has also been hot of late, going 14/41 in his last nine games. For the season, he is batting .308 with three homers.

Colorado’s overall record is 45-79, putting them 27 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Against NL West teams, they have a 14-28 record, and they are currently in 5th place in the division, 16.5 games behind the Giants.

When the Rockies win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game, but when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.1 runs per game. Their run line record is 63-61, with a scoring margin of -1.6 runs per game. The over/under record for Rockies games is 63-58, with games averaging 10.2 runs per game this season.

Bradley Blalock Gets The Start For The Rockies

Bradley Blalock will be making his first start of the season for the Rockies, as he is coming off a bullpen appearance in his last outing. He went just one inning in that appearance, but in his last start, he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 3 runs on 6 hits.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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Colorado’s offense has been good at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. Overall, they are 17th in the league at 4.3 runs per contest. The Rockies have been a good home run hitting team this season, and they are batting a collective .244, which is 10th in the MLB.

Michael Toglia, Brenton Doyle, and Ezequiel Tovar are all among the league leaders in home runs, with Toglia and Doyle both having 20 homers this season. Toglia is batting just .221, but Doyle comes into the game with a batting average of .267. Brendan Rodgers has been hot of late, going 14/40 over his last 10 games, with two homers and eight RBIs.

Padres vs Rockies Prediction

With the Rockies at home and offering a payout of +171, we see them as the best bet in this matchup. Our predicted score is 6-5 in favor of the Rockies, giving you a couple of different ways to bet this one. If you like the over/under, we would take the under at 11.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Bradley Blalock finishing with seven strikeouts compared to Joe Musgrove with five. However, Musgrove is predicted to go five innings, while Blalock is projected to go just four.

Offensively, our projections have the Rockies finishing with nine hits compared to the Padres with nine. However, the Rockies are projected to finish with nine strikeouts compared to the Padres with six.

If you’re looking for a Joe Musgrove prop bet, his strikeout total is seven, which would have him finishing with the fifth most among all starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.