San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 10/5/2024

The San Diego Padres (93-69) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:38 CT.

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Dodgers (-137)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
  • The Dodgers have won 8 of their last 10 games, showcasing strong recent form.
  • In their last 15 games, the Dodgers have scored 7 or more runs in 6 games, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Dodgers have a home record of 52-29, demonstrating their strength at home.
  • In the last series against the Padres at home, the Dodgers won 2 out of 3 games.
  • The Dodgers are on a 5-game winning streak, highlighting their current momentum.

Padres vs Dodgers

san diego padres nba

The Padres Are Coming Off A Win

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Braves, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Braves in the top of the first, the Padres responded with five runs of their own. San Diego was the -119 favorite at home going into the game.

Joe Musgrove got the start for the Padres, going 3 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one hit and struck out four. However, Musgrove did issue three walks and allowed a run to score. The Padres’s bullpen was a little shaky, as the Braves scored two runs in the 8th to tie things up. Robert Suarez was able to close things out and pick up the save.

As the Padres prepare to face the Dodgers in game one of their NL Divisional Round series, San Diego will be on the road, where they posted a 48-33 record during the regular season. They went 45-36 at home. As favorites, the Padres were 62-43, while they went 33-26 as underdogs.

San Diego finished the regular season with an 85-79 run line record, including a 51-30 mark against the run line on the road. As underdogs, they went 41-18 against the run line. Their games averaged 8.8 total runs this season, and their over/under record is 83-77.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

The Padres are sending right-hander Dylan Cease to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. Cease has made 33 starts this season and has a record of 14-11 with an ERA of 3.47. So far, he has pitched 189 1/3 innings and has one complete game shutout. Cease has turned in 16 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.65 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Cease finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts without giving up a run. Cease has been much better at home this year, coming in with an ERA of 4.6 on the road compared to 3.22 at home.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game with the best team batting average in the league at .263, and they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 8th in the league in runs scored at 4.7 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest.

Manny Machado and Jurickson Profar are the Padres’ top power threats this season, as they have gone deep 29 and 24 times, respectively. Machado’s 105 RBIs are 7th best in the league, and Profar is 3rd on the team with 85 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Jackson Merrill is hitting .333, and Kyle Higashioka has three homers in this stretch.

The Dodgers Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Rockies, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -154. Offensively, the Dodgers only had five hits but scored two runs. Chris Taylor’s homer in the 2nd inning was the big blow, and the Dodgers added another run in the 8th to close things out.

Anthony Banda got the start for the Dodgers, going just one inning. He didn’t give up a run or a hit but was pulled after just one inning of work. Evan Phillips got the win out of the bullpen, and Edgardo Henriquez picked up the save.

As the Dodgers prepare to host the Padres in game one of their NLDS matchup, Los Angeles will look to continue their five-game winning streak. The Dodgers finished the regular season with a 98-64 record, including a 52-29 mark at home and a 46-35 record on the road. As favorites, they went 92-52 this year.

Los Angeles posted an 81-81 run line record this season, with a +0.9 run-scoring margin at home and +1.1 on the road. As favorites, their run line record is 73-71. The Dodgers’ over/under record is 90-68, and 84% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-2 with an ERA of 3.00. So far, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Yamamoto’s last outing came on September 28th vs. the Rockies, where he picked up the win, going five innings and giving up two earned runs. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Yamamoto has been much better on the road, coming in with an ERA of 2.14 compared to 7.35 at home.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

los angeles dodgers

Shohei Ohtani has been on an absolute tear for the Dodgers, hitting .628 over his last 10 games, with six homers and 20 RBIs in that stretch. For the season, he is batting .310 with 54 home runs and 130 RBIs, which are both 2nd in the league. Teoscar Hernandez is also having a strong season for the Dodgers, as he is batting .272 with 33 homers.

As a team, the Dodgers have the best OPS in the league, and they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are 2nd in the league in scoring, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Not only do they have the best team slugging percentage, but they also have the best isolated power numbers in the league.

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

Our predicted final score for this game is 4-3 in favor of the Dodgers, so we would recommend taking them on the money line at -137. We do see this as a close game, and with the Dodgers picking up the win in 60% of simulations, the payout is too good to pass up.

Looking at some of the projections for individual players, Dylan Cease is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Yoshinobu Yamamoto, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is the third lowest.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.