Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 4/12/2024

The San Diego Padres (7-8) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (10-5) on Friday, April 12th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on SNLA. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cubs. First pitch is set for 10:10 ET.

Padres vs Dodgers

san diego padres nba

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cubs, closing out their series with a 10-2 win. After allowing three runs to the Cubs in the top of the first, the Padres responded with two runs of their own. San Diego went on to add another eight runs over the next three innings, and the Cubs could only score two more runs, both of which came in the 4th.

Dylan Cease put together a good start for the Padres, going six innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out seven Cubs batters. Jurickson Profar was hot at the plate, going 3/3 with a homer and three RBIs.

San Diego is currently three games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. They are coming off a series in which they lost two of three to the Cubs. Overall, they are 7-8 on the year.

So far, the Padres have struggled in series, going 0-3-1. They are 2-2 on the road this season and have an overall record of 5-6 at home.

San Diego has been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 4-0 in those contests. They have been even better against the run line as the underdog, going 4-1. Their average run margin is +1.5 on the road, compared to -0.1 at home, and they have won four straight against the run line on the road.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is right around the Padres’ season average of 8 runs per game. In their last 10 games, the Padres have had an average combined run total of 10.3 runs per game. Their over/under record on the season is 7-7, and when the line has been set at 8 runs, they are 0-3-1. So far this season, 40% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8 runs, while 33.3% have had higher lines.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Michael King will be making his 4th appearance of the season and 2nd start, with his first start coming against the Giants. In that outing, he went 7 innings and picked up the win, allowing 4 hits and striking out 4. He also started the season with a 4-inning start vs. the Giants, and he took a no-decision, giving up 2 runs. King’s first outing of the season came against the Dodgers, where he went 3 1/3 innings and got the win.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Our player projections have Manny Machado as our 3rd highest projected hitter in terms of total hits in this game, and he also has the best odds to hit a home run for the Padres. His home run projection is 12th best in the league today. Xander Bogaerts is our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, and his total hits projection is 13th best in the league today. Fernando Tatis Jr. has the best odds to hit a home run for the Padres, and his home run projection is 12th best in the league today. Luis Campusano has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run for the Padres, and his home run projection is 13th best in the league today.

Heading into their last game vs. the Twins, the Dodgers closed out the series with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Twins scored two runs in the bottom of the 9th. Los Angeles was the -177 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Bobby Miller got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up two earned runs, and issued three walks. The Dodgers’s offense was carried by Max Muncy, who went 1/4 with a homer.

Los Angeles is currently in first place in the NL West and has a three-game lead over the Padres. They have a 10-5 record overall and are 6-2 at home. The Dodgers have won four straight games at home.

So far, the Dodgers have played four series and have won three of them. They are coming off a series where they took two out of three from the Twins.

When the Dodgers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.0 runs per game. So far this season, they are 7-8 against the run line, with a 3-5 record at home and a 4-3 record on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.9 runs per game.

Los Angeles has played in 15 games with an over/under line of 8 runs this season. In those games, the over has hit 10 times, including in their last three games. The Dodgers have a combined run average of 9.9 runs per game this season, and their games have averaged 9 runs per game.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers at home against the Padres. He has been impressive in his first two starts, picking up a win against the Cubs and going five innings in a no-decision vs. the Cardinals. He has 13 strikeouts in 10 innings of work so far.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

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For the Dodgers, we have Shohei Ohtani projected to have the best game offensively. He has the highest total hits projection on the team and the 4th best home run projection in today’s slate of games. Freddie Freeman is 11th in terms of total hits today, and his home run projection is 13th. Mookie Betts is 22nd in total hits today and has the 8th best home run projection.


Padres vs Dodgers Prediction


We see the Dodgers picking up a 6-5 win over the Padres, and with the Dodgers being the money line favorite, there isn’t a ton of value in taking them at -198. Instead, we are recommending taking the over, as there is some good value with the line being set at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Michael King finishing with six strikeouts compared to Yoshinobu Yamamoto with five. However, we have Yamamoto going seven innings, which is better than King, who we have going six.

Offensively, our projections have the Padres finishing with nine hits compared to the Dodgers with nine. However, the Dodgers have a better chance of hitting a home run, and we have them finishing with a total of two compared to the Padres with one.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.