San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 4/14/2024

The San Diego Padres (8-9) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (11-6) on Sunday, April 14th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on ESPN. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Padres vs Dodgers

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Thanks to a three-run 6th inning for the Dodgers’ offense, they picked up a 5-2 win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -212 on the money line.

The Padres got on the board first in the 4th inning, scoring two runs off Dodgers starter Gavin Stone. Stone would go just 6 2/3 innings but gave up just two earned runs and picked up a win in the game.

Mookie Betts scored two runs for the Dodgers while going 3/5 with two stolen bases. Enrique Hernandez also had a two-hit game and scored a run for Los Angeles’ offense.

As the Padres are on the road today vs. the Dodgers, they are looking to get above .500, as they currently hold an 8-9 record. In the NL West, they are in 3rd place, which is where they also are in their overall division standings.

Looking at San Diego’s series record, they have gone 1-3-1 so far. When playing at home, they are 5-6 compared to 3-3 on the road. Coming into this one, they have been the underdog seven times and have gone 3-4 in those games.

When the Padres win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.0 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.2 runs per game, and their run line record is 8-9. They have been profitable against the run line on the road, going 5-1, but have struggled at home, going 3-8.

San Diego’s over/under record is 8-8, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 3-3. However, the majority of their games have had lower lines, as 64.7% of their games have had over/under lines set at less than 8.5 runs.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish and the Padres are on the road to take on the Dodgers, and this will be Darvish’s 3rd start of the season. He has a 0-1 record through his first two starts, and in his last outing, he went 7 innings, giving up 3 runs, and striking out 6.

Padres Offense Breakdown

For the Padres, we have Xander Bogaerts projected to have the most hits on the team, with his total being the 16th highest in the league today. Manny Machado is our top choice to hit a home run for San Diego, with his odds being 11th best in the league. Kyle Higashioka is 2nd in terms of home run projections for the Padres, and Fernando Tatis Jr. is 2nd in terms of total hits and 11th in terms of home run projections.

With an overall record of 11-6, the Dodgers lead the NL West heading into today’s game vs. the Padres. The Dodgers hold a three-game lead over the Padres, who are in 3rd place in the division. So far, the Dodgers have been good at home, going 7-3, and just above .500 on the road at 4-3.

Looking at their series record, the Dodgers are 4-1, which includes taking the series vs. the Padres, winning the final game of the series. This season, the Dodgers are 7-2 in night games. As the favorite, the Dodgers have a record of 11-6.

The Dodgers have been a strong bet on the run line this season, going 8-9 overall. They have been particularly good at home, where they are 4-6 on the run line. Their average run differential on the season is +0.9 runs per game, and they have been outscoring opponents by an average of 1.4 runs per game at home. When they win, they do so by an average of 2.8 runs per game.

With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Dodgers and Padres have combined for an average of 10.1 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Dodgers games this season is 11-6, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the record is 8-5, and the line has been set at 8.5 runs in 23.5% of their games.

James Paxton Gets The Start For The Dodgers

James Paxton will be making his third start of the season for the Dodgers, and it will be his first start at home. So far, he has a win in each of his first two starts, with his most recent outing being a 6-inning performance against the Twins where he allowed 2 runs on 3 hits.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

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For the Dodgers, we have Shohei Ohtani as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits. Ohtani’s hits projection is 21st best in today’s slate of games. He also has the best odds on the team to hit a home run, with the 5th best odds in today’s games. Mookie Betts is our 2nd best Dodgers hitter in terms of total hits, and his home run projection is 9th in today’s games. Freddie Freeman has the 16th best total hits projection today, and his home run projection is 13th in the league.


Padres vs Dodgers Prediction


Our prediction for this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Dodgers winning this game 5-4, meaning there is a bit of wiggle room if you want to take the Dodgers on the money line.

If you do want to take the Dodgers on the money line, you would be getting a payout of -162, and with the way we see this game playing out, we would much rather take the over, as there is a lot of value in the over/under market.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with eight strikeouts, while James Paxton is projected to finish with seven. As for the Dodgers and Padres’ lineups, the Dodgers are projected to finish with eight hits compared to the Padres with seven.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.