San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction 9/25/2024

The San Diego Padres (91-66) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (93-64) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 9:10 CT.

Padres vs. Dodgers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Dodgers (-142)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Dodgers have a strong home record with 50 wins and 29 losses this season.
  • Dodgers have scored an average of 6.8 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • Dodgers have won 6 out of their last 10 games, showing recent good form.
  • Dodgers have a higher league rank (1st in NL West) compared to the Padres (3rd in NL West).
  • Dodgers have won 3 out of their last 4 home games against the Padres.

Padres vs Dodgers

san diego padres nba

San Diego picked up a 4-2 road win over the Dodgers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a two-run 2nd inning and added two more runs in the 4th. As for the Dodgers, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Both offenses finished with eight hits.

Michael King started for the Padres and picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed two walks. Landon Knack got the start for the Dodgers and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.

Jake Cronenworth and Xander Bogaerts each homered for the Padres, while Will Smith went 2/3 with an RBI for the Dodgers. Teoscar Hernandez also had a two-hit game at the plate.

San Diego has won five straight games and is 9-1 in their last ten, putting them at 91-66 overall and 2nd in the NL West, two games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have a 46-30 road record and are 24-16 as road underdogs this season.

On the run line, the Padres are 48-28 on the road and 38-17 as underdogs. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, and their O/U record for games with 7.5 run lines is 24-25. This season, 57.3% of their games have had O/U lines higher than 7.5 runs.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Astros, Cease went 8 1/3 innings and gave up just two hits. Cease finished with five strikeouts in the outing. Looking back further, Cease has won three of his last four starts. Cease’s record for the season is 14-11, and he has an ERA of 3.42. For the year, Cease has a WHIP of 1.05 and has issued 3.03 walks per nine innings compared to 10.74 strikeouts. He has one complete game shutout and 16 quality starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .265 and are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Jurickson Profar and Jackson Merrill are both batting over .290 for the season, and Profar has gone 10/28 in his last eight games.

Manny Machado is the Padres’ top power threat, as his 29 homers are 13th in the league, and he is 9th in the MLB with 104 RBIs. Machado has also gone deep three times in his last eight games, but he is hitting just .258 during that stretch. Luis Arraez is hitting .316 for the season and has gone 9/32 in his last eight games.

Los Angeles has a 93-64 record and leads the NL West by two games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 26-21 in divisional matchups and have won two straight series, but they are currently down 0-1 in the series vs. the Padres. Over their last 10 games, the Dodgers are 6-4.

This season, the Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.4 runs, and their over/under record is 87-66. When the total has been 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 14 of 23 games. Against the run line, the Dodgers are 78-79, with an average run differential of +0.8 runs per game.

Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Jack Flaherty gets the start for the Dodgers today and is coming off a solid outing vs. the Marlins. In that September 19th start, he went six innings, giving up three earned runs and picking up the win. Looking back at his last four starts, Flaherty has allowed at least one homer in each outing. His ERA for the season is 3.10, along with a record of 13-7. Flaherty has made 15 quality starts this year and is averaging 10.83 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has walked just 2.01 batters per nine innings.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

los angeles dodgers

Shohei Ohtani has been on a tear for the Dodgers, batting .463 over his last 10 games with six homers and 19 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .301 with a league-leading 123 RBIs. Ohtani’s 53 homers is also the best mark in the league. Teoscar Hernandez has also been a big power threat for the Dodgers, as he is 2nd on the team with 31 homers and has a batting average of .269.

Overall, the Dodgers have the best OPS in the league and have the top slugging percentage in the league. They are also 2nd in the league in scoring, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Not only do they have the best isolated power mark in the league, but they also have the 3rd most homers in the league.

Padres vs Dodgers Prediction

Our prediction for this Padres vs. Dodgers matchup is that the Dodgers will pick up a 6-5 win at home. With the money line sitting at -142, this is the best way to play this one, as we have the Dodgers winning this one 55% of the time.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jack Flaherty finishing with six strikeouts compared to Dylan Cease with six. If you’re looking to play this one in the over/under market, the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with 11 runs, giving you some room to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.