San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 4/15/2024

The San Diego Padres (9-9) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (10-4) on Monday, April 15th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Padres vs Brewers

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The Padres are coming off a big 6-3 win over the Dodgers to close out their series. San Diego was the +138 underdog on the money line going into this matchup. Things started off well for the Padres, as they got on the board with a run in the 4th inning and added three more in the 6th.

Yu Darvish put together a good start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just three runs on four hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Manny Machado was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

With an overall record of 9-9, the Padres are in 3rd place in the NL West heading into today’s game vs. the Brewers. Both the Diamondbacks and Padres are currently two games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. San Diego is still looking to win their first NL West title.

So far, San Diego has been good as the favorite and has gone 5-5 in those games. As the underdog, which they are today, the Padres are 4-4 this season. They have a series record of 3-3-1 coming into today.

San Diego is 9-9 vs. the run line this year, but they are 6-1 on the road. They are 3-8 vs. the run line at home, where they have a negative run differential. They are 3-7 vs. the run line as the favorite, but 6-2 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.7, while it is -3.0 in losses.

San Diego’s over/under record is 9-8, and their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game. The Padres have played 11 games with over/under lines lower than 8.5 runs, and their over/under record in those games is 7-4. In games with over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 4-3. The over/under line for today’s game against the Brewers is set at 8.5 runs.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove will be making his third start of the season, and it will be his first road start of the year. In his first two outings, Musgrove has a win and a loss. He picked up the win in his first start, going 6 innings and striking out 7. Then, in his last start, he took the loss, giving up 4 earned runs in 4 innings of work.

Padres Offense Breakdown

For the Padres, we have Xander Bogaerts projected to have the most hits on the team, and his hits projection is 25th best in the league today. Manny Machado is our top projected home run hitter for the Padres, and his home run projection is 13th best in the league today. Fernando Tatis Jr. is right behind him in terms of home run projections, and his home run projection is 13th best in the league today. Luis Campusano has the 2nd best home run projection on the team, and his home run projection is 14th best in the league today.

The Brewers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Orioles with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Orioles scored two runs in the bottom of the 7th. Milwaukee was the +185 underdog on the money line going into this road game.

Colin Rea got the start for the Brewers and took the loss. He only lasted 5 2/3 innings, giving up three earned runs on five hits. Blake Perkins had a big game at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Milwaukee will be closing out their series with the Padres today, as they currently hold a record of 10-4, which has them in 2nd place in the NL Central. They Brewers and Pirates are both are 0 games behind, heading into today’s game.

So far, Milwaukee has been perfect in series, with a record of 4-0-1. They have also won three straight series, which includes taking the series from the Orioles in their most recent matchup. Coming into today’s game, they are 7-2 on the road and 3-2 at home.

When betting the run line on the Milwaukee Brewers, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 6-2 against the run line in those games. Their overall run line record is 8-6, and they have been outscored by an average of 2.5 runs in their losses.

When the Milwaukee Brewers play at home, the over has been hitting at a high rate this season. The over/under record for the Brewers is 10-4 on the year, and their games have averaged 10.8 runs per game. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in six of the eight contests. Overall, the over has hit in seven straight games for the Brewers.

Joe Ross Gets The Start For The Brewers

Joe Ross is on the mound for the Brewers today, as he is coming off a win in his last start. In that outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up 3 runs on 5 hits. He struck out 7 batters and gave up 1 home run. His first start of the season was a no-decision, and he went 3 2/3 innings, allowing 5 hits and 5 walks.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

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For the Brewers, we have Rhys Hoskins with the best odds to hit a home run on the team, and his home run projection is 8th best in the league today. Christian Yelich has the 2nd best total hits projection on the team, and Willy Adames has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 11th best odds in the league today.


Padres vs Brewers Prediction


With the Brewers at +105 on the money line, this is the best way to go for today’s Brewers vs. Padres matchup. We have the Brewers taking this one by a score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Joe Musgrove finishing with six strikeouts and Joe Ross with five. Ross is also projected to give up fewer runs than Musgrove, and we have him getting the win.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.