San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 4/16/2024

The San Diego Padres (10-9) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (10-5) on Tuesday, April 16th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on BSWI. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Brewers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Brewers. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Padres vs Brewers

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San Diego cruised to a 7-3 win over the Brewers in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring six of their seven runs. As for the Brewers, they scored their only three runs in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Padres were the slight underdogs at -104.

Joe Musgrove got the win for the Padres, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just four strikeouts but induced seven ground balls. Robert Suarez got the save.

Milwaukee’s starter, Joe Ross, had a rough outing, taking the loss after going just 4 2/3 innings and giving up six runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks.

As the Padres are on the road today vs. the Brewers, they are in a good spot, as they have won two straight games and are just one game behind the Dodgers for the NL West division lead. So far, the Padres are 10-9, and they have a series record of 3-3-1 this season.

At home, the Padres have gone 5-6, and they have been above average on the road at 5-3. San Diego has won two straight road games and is the favorite today in Milwaukee. As the favorite this season, the Padres are 5-5 compared to 5-4 as the underdog.

San Diego has been a strong bet against the run line this season, going 10-9 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 7-1 against the run line. In their last two road games, they have covered the run line. They have been a good bet as an underdog, going 7-2 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.0.

The San Diego Padres have played 18 games this season, with 10 of them going over the total. Their games have averaged 10.3 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 10-8. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-3, and their games have averaged 10 runs per game.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease and the Padres are on the road to take on the Brewers. Cease has been solid in his two starts this season, going 6 innings in each outing. He picked up the win in his last start, going 6 innings and striking out 7, but he did give up a pair of homers.

Padres Offense Breakdown

For the Padres, we have Xander Bogaerts projected to have the most hits on the team, with his total being the 19th highest in the league today. We also have him 3rd on the team in terms of home run projections, which is 15th in the league. Manny Machado has the highest home run projection on the team and 11th in the league. Fernando Tatis Jr. is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projections and 12th in the league.

Milwaukee will be closing out their series vs. the Padres today, as they currently hold a two-game lead in the NL Central over the Pirates. The Brewers are both 7-2 on the road and 3-3 at home this season. Overall, they are 10-5.

Looking at their series record, Milwaukee has gone 4-0-1 so far. They have won three straight series, including taking the series from the Reds in between their series with the Orioles and Padres. As the underdog, the Brewers are 6-2 this season compared to 4-3 as the favorite.

When betting the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 7-2 on the run line away from Miller Park. They have an average run margin of 3.0 on the road, compared to 0.0 at home. They have also been a better bet as the underdog, going 6-2 on the run line in those games.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been on a hot streak of overs, with the over hitting in their last eight games. Their games have averaged 10.7 runs per game this season, and they have an over/under record of 11-4. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in seven of nine games. Overall, their games have gone over the total in 13.3% of their games this season.

Wade Miley Gets The Start For The Brewers

Wade Miley is getting the start for the Brewers today as they host the Padres. Miley got the start in the Brewers’ first game of the season and took a no-decision. In that outing, he went 4 innings and gave up 1 run on 1 hit while striking out 2.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

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For the Brewers, we have Rhys Hoskins with the best odds to hit a home run. His home run projection is 9th best in the league today. Christian Yelich is 12th in the league in terms of home run projections. Willy Adames is our 11th best projected home run hitter in the league.


Padres vs Brewers Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Padres vs. Brewers game is to take the Brewers on the money line, with the payout being +105. We have the Brewers winning this one 6-5, and with the payout, there is some good value in taking them to win outright.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Dylan Cease finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the second-best among today’s starters. As for Wade Miley, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts, which is the eighth worst among today’s starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.