The San Diego Padres (61-52) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-55) on Tuesday, August 6th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on SN PT. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Padres (-170)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs

• Padres have won 8 of their last 10 games.
• Padres have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 10 games.
• Padres have a 31-23 record in away games this season.
• Padres have won 4 of their last 5 away games.
• Padres have outscored their opponents by 30 runs in their last 10 games.

Padres vs Pirates

The Padres Are Coming Off A Win

The Padres’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 10-2 win. After allowing a run to the Rockies in the top of the first, the Padres responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 2nd inning. San Diego went on to score a total of 10 runs on 12 hits and issued just two walks.

Matt Waldron put together a good start for the Padres, going 5 2/3 innings, and giving up just one earned run, and striking out seven. San Diego’s offense was carried by Jurickson Profar, who went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

San Diego has been on fire lately, going 8-2 in their last 10 games. They are currently 3rd in the NL West with a 61-52 record, five games behind the Dodgers. The Padres have a 31-23 road record, which is the 5th-best in the majors.

This season, the over has hit in 60 of the Padres’ 112 games. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 9-10-1. Today’s O/U line is 8 runs, and the Padres and their opponents have averaged 8.9 runs per game.

Dylan Cease Gets The Start For The Padres

Dylan Cease has been pitching well for the Padres, as he comes into the game with a record of 11-8 and an ERA of 3.42. Cease’s WHIP for the season is currently .99. In his 23 starts, Cease has one complete game shutout and 13 quality starts. Cease has been particularly good on the road, going 6-3 with a 4.99 ERA. At home, his record is 5-5 with a 3.29 ERA. Cease most recently faced the Dodgers, where he picked up the win after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had three straight starts without giving up an earned run.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into the game with the league’s top batting average at .264, and they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Leading the way in home runs is Jurickson Profar, who is also 3rd in the league in RBIs. Profar has been hot of late, going 12/38 in his last 10 games with four homers. Manny Machado has also been swinging a hot bat, going 15/41 with four homers in his last 10 games.

Profar and Machado are 1-2 in RBIs for the Padres, with Profar driving in 71 runs and Machado at 61. Profar comes into the game with a team-leading batting average of .300, and Machado is hitting .272. Machado is also on a seven-game hitting streak.

The Pirates Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Pirates will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Diamondbacks with a 6-5 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Diamondbacks scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Pittsburgh was the -164 favorite at home going into the game.

Paul Skenes got the start for the Pirates, going 5 1/3 innings, and took the loss. He pitched well for most of the game, giving up just two earned runs and striking out four. However, the Pirates couldn’t close things out, and Colin Holderman took the loss out of the bullpen. The Pirates also wasted a big game from Yasmani Grandal, who went 3/4 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI.

As underdogs, the Pirates are 32-34 this season and have covered the run line in four straight games. Their overall run line record is 63-48. Pittsburgh’s games have averaged 8.5 runs per game, and their over/under record is 52-58. In games with the total set at 8 runs, they are 11-13.

Pittsburgh’s series record is 16-15-5, and they are 3rd in the NL Central with a 56-55 overall record, trailing the Brewers by six games. At home, the Pirates are 27-28, and on the road, they are 29-27.

Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates

Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 5-7 with a 3.95 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.19, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Falter picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run. Looking back further, he has alternated wins and losses over his last four starts. The most runs he has allowed in a start this year is five.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. This is a bit of a surprise, as they are batting just .233 as a team (17th) and have the league’s 23rd ranked home run total. Their team on-base percentage of .301 is also just 20th in the MLB.

Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power threats this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 19 homers and De La Cruz right behind him at 18. Reynolds is also batting .289 for the season, and De La Cruz is hitting .242. Reynolds is also on a three-game hitting streak. Over his last 10 games, Joey Bart is hitting .324 with two homers, and Michael A. Taylor and Oneil Cruz have also gone deep twice in this stretch.

Padres vs Pirates Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Padres and Pirates matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Padres, which gives us a lot of value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs. We see the Padres’ offense racking up 12 hits compared to the Pirates with nine.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Dylan Cease going 8th in the league in terms of starting pitcher strikeout projections. However, we still have him finishing with eight K’s, and his chances of picking up a win are the second-best among today’s starters.

As for Bailey Falter, we have him finishing with just four strikeouts and his chances of picking up a win are 18th best. Offensively, we have the Pirates finishing with nine hits and the Padres with 12.

For today’s game, we recommend taking the over of 8 runs, as we see this one finishing with a combined 11 runs.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.