San Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction 8/7/2024

The San Diego Padres (62-52) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-56) on Wednesday, August 7th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Padres vs. Pirates Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Pirates (+127)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • PIT has scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • PIT has a home record of 27-29, while SD has an away record of 32-23.
  • PIT has won 3 of their last 4 home games.
  • PIT has a recent win against a strong team, HOU, with a score of 6-2 on July 30th.
  • PIT has a head-to-head win against SD in their last home game on August 3rd, with a score of 4-2.

Padres vs Pirates

san diego padres nba

San Diego cruised to an easy 6-0 win over the Pirates in the most recent game of this series. The Padres had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Pirates, they had their best chance to score in the 7th but left the bases loaded. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -169 on the money line.

Dylan Cease only went one inning for the Padres but didn’t give up a run and struck out two. Bryan Hoeing got the win out of the bullpen. Bailey Falter only went two innings for the Pirates, giving up two hits and no earned runs.

Donovan Solano had a big game at the plate for the Padres, going 4/5 with four RBIs. Tyler Wade and Jurickson Profar each had two hits and an RBI. Luis Campusano also had a two-hit game and scored two runs.

San Diego is 62-52 overall and 4.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. The Padres have won three straight games and are 8-2 in their last 10. They have an overall series record of 22-13-3, including winning five straight series.

Against the run line, the Padres are 39-16 on the road and have covered in two straight games. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, resulting in a 60-53 over/under record. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, the Padres’ record is 9-10-1, with 41.2% of their games having an O/U line of 8 runs.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Pirates on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 9-6 with a 3.26 ERA. King’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.16. In his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on nine hits. King picked up the win in that start. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Opponents are batting .211 off King this season, and he has a total of 144 strikeouts. King has made 13 appearances on the road, going 8-2 with a 3.14 ERA.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as the league’s top-hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They also lead the MLB in fewest strikeouts per game and have the league’s top on-base percentage. The Padres have been good at home this season, averaging 4.5 runs per game, and have been even better on the road, where they are averaging 4.9 runs per contest.

Jurickson Profar has been a big power threat for the Padres this season, as his 19 homers are the most on the team and 12th most in the league. Profar is also batting .302, which is 4th best on the team. Manny Machado has also been a big power threat, as his 17 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th in the league. Over his last five games, Machado is hitting .350 with one home run.

As the underdog, the Pirates are 46-21 against the run line, but as the favorite, they are 17-28. They have a 63-49 run line record overall, and the over/under record for their games this season is 52-59. The Pirates’ average run total per game is 8, and 58 of their games have had lines set over 8 runs, which is 51.8% of their games.

Pittsburgh is currently at .500 with a 56-56 record, placing them 3rd in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. They have lost two straight games and their series record is 16-15-5. The Pirates’ average run margin in wins is 3.2 runs, while in losses, it’s -3.4 runs per game.

Marco Gonzales Gets The Start For The Pirates

Marco Gonzales will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Diamondbacks, as he finished with a no-decision after giving up four earned runs in just 2 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up two homers. Before that, Gonzales had a quality start vs. the White Sox, going five innings and giving up just one earned run. Overall, he has made six starts, has a record of 1-1, and an ERA of 3.72. Opposing batters are hitting .299 off Gonzales this season. Per nine innings, he has 6.21 strikeouts and 2.79 walks.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

pittsburgh pirates

So far this season, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is only 20th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 19th in the league, and are also near the bottom of the league in terms of slugging percentage and OPS.

Bryan Reynolds has been one of the Pirates’ top power threats this season, as his 19 homers are the best on the team and 12th in the league. Reynolds is also batting .286 for the season and has driven in 66 runs, which is 15th in the league. Over his last 10 games, Joey Bart is hitting .353, while Oneil Cruz has gone 11/37 in his last nine games.

Padres vs Pirates Prediction

There is a lot of value in taking the Pirates on the money line at +127. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Pirates, giving you a chance to get a nice payout.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also consider taking the over, as we have this game finishing with 11 total runs, and the line is currently sitting at 8.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.