The San Diego Padres (63-52) travel to face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates (56-57) on Thursday, August 8th. This game will be played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh and televised on MLBN. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 11:35 CT.
Padres vs. Pirates Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Pirates (-115)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- Pirates have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- Pirates have won 4 of their last 6 home games.
- Pirates have won 3 of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
- Pirates have a higher home win percentage (47.4%) compared to the Padres’ away win percentage (41.8%).
- Pirates have won 3 of their last 5 games when scoring first.
Padres vs Pirates
San Diego rallied for three runs in the 9th inning in the most recent game of this Padres vs. Pirates series. The Padres scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the top of the 9th, picking up a 9-8 win. Heading into the game, the Padres were favored at -161 on the money line.
Pittsburgh wasted a good outing from Marco Gonzales, as he gave up just two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work for the Pirates. Colin Holderman took the loss. Tanner Scott got the win out of the bullpen for the Padres as Michael King went five innings, giving up three earned runs.
Offensively, the Padres were led by Jackson Merrill, who went 4/6 with two homers. He scored three times and drove in three runs. Kyle Higashioka also had a two-hit game with a homer for San Diego.
San Diego has a 63-52 record and is currently 3rd in the NL West, three games behind the Dodgers. The Giants are 8.5 games out of first place, sandwiched between the Padres and the Dodgers.
On the run line, the Padres have a 39-17 record on the road and are 33-15 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, with the over hitting 61 times and the under 53 times. In games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs, the over has hit 15 times and the under has hit 12 times.
Randy Vásquez Gets The Start For The Padres
Randy Vásquez is getting the start for the Padres today as he faces off against the Pirates on the road. So far this season, he has made 16 starts and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.62. Vásquez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.53, and opponents are batting .298 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Vásquez finished with a no-decision, giving up one earned run in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. Vásquez has a 8.4 ERA on the road compared to 3.52 at home.
Padres Offense Breakdown
San Diego comes into today’s game with the league’s top batting average at .265, and they are also the top home run hitting team in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th best in the league. The Padres have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game.
Jurickson Profar has been the Padres’ top power threat this season, as his 19 homers are 1st on the team and 14th in the league. He is also 13th in the league with 71 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Profar has gone 3/29 with three homers. Manny Machado has also been hot of late, going 11/29 with three homers in this stretch. Machado is batting .271 for the season and is 3rd on the team with 62 RBIs.
As underdogs, the Pirates have a 32-36 record this season and are currently on a four-game losing streak. Overall, they are 56-57 and sit 8.0 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. In the division, they are in 3rd place, two games behind the Cardinals.
Against the run line, Pittsburgh has been profitable with a 64-49 record, including 35-21 on the road and 47-21 as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 53-59 in 74 games with O/U lines.
Luis L. Ortiz Gets The Start For The Pirates
Pittsburgh is sending Luis L. Ortiz to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 28 appearances this year and has a record of 5-2 with a 3.21 ERA. Ortiz has made six starts and has a WHIP of 1.18. Looking back at his last outing, Ortiz finished with a no-decision vs. the Diamondbacks. In that game, he gave up six earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts and didn’t give up a run in either outing. Ortiz has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts.
Pirates Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Pirates are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 20th in the majors. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, the Pirates are batting just .233, and their collective on-base percentage of .302 is also near the bottom of the league.
Bryan Reynolds and Bryan De La Cruz have been the Pirates’ top power hitters this season, with Reynolds leading the team with 19 homers and De La Cruz right behind him with 18. Reynolds is also batting .288 for the season, while De La Cruz is hitting just .240. Joey Bart has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/22 in his last six games with two homers.
Padres vs Pirates Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Pirates vs. Padres matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Pirates. Given that they are also our predicted winner, we recommend taking the Pirates on the money line, where you can get them at -115.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis L. Ortiz is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the lowest among today’s starters. As for Randy Vásquez, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is 11th among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 8, 2024 Padres, Pirates