San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 9/10/2024

The San Diego Padres (81-64) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (73-71) on Tuesday, September 10th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on MLBN. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Padres vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mariners (-107)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • The Mariners have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 10 home games.
  • Seattle has won 7 out of their last 10 home games.
  • The Mariners have a home record of 41-28, compared to the Padres’ away record of 41-29.
  • Seattle has outscored their opponents by a total of 30 runs in their last 5 home games.
  • The Mariners have a recent head-to-head win against the Padres, with a score of 2-0 on July 10th.

Padres vs Mariners

san diego padres nba

The Mariners Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Padres will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Giants with a 7-6 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Giants scored six runs in the top of the 4th. San Diego’s offense scored their six runs on eight hits and only hit two home runs.

Joe Musgrove had a rough outing, giving up six earned runs on eight hits and issuing three walks. The Padres also wasted a big game from Xander Bogaerts, who went 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

San Diego has an 81-64 record, putting them 2nd in the NL West, 5.5 games behind the Dodgers. They have lost two straight games, dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Giants. The Padres’ overall series record is 28-15-5, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games.

On the run line, the Padres are 73-72 overall, with a 44-26 record on the road. They have been a solid underdog bet, going 36-17 vs. the run line. This season, the over has hit in 54.5% of their games, and when the total has been set at 7 runs, the over has hit in 10 of 13 games (76.9%).

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. This season, he has made 12 starts and has a record of 4-3 with a 3.51 ERA. Darvish’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.12. In his 12 appearances, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish’s last outing came on September 4th, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

San Diego comes into today’s game as the top-hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .265. They are also one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The Padres have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest.

Over the team’s last eight games, Luis Arraez has been on fire, going 15/34 with six runs scored and four RBIs. For the season, he is batting .315 with four homers. Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill are the team’s top power threats, with Machado leading the team with 25 homers and Merrill right behind him at 23.

The Mariners Are Coming Off A Win

The Mariners’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, closing out their series with a 10-4 win. Seattle scored five times in the 1st inning and added another two runs in the 2nd. After the Cardinals pulled to within two runs after the 8th, the Mariners added an insurance run in the top of the 9th. Seattle was the -134 favorite on the money line going into the game.

Luis Castillo got the start for the Mariners, going three innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

Seattle has an overall record of 73-71 and they are 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have a 41-28 home record this season and are coming off a series win vs. the Cardinals. Their run line record is 61-83, with an average run margin of +3.6 in wins and -3.1 in losses.

When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the Mariners’ O/U record is 12-19-6. The combined run average in their games this season is 7.8 runs, and their overall O/U record is 65-71. So far, 66.7% of their games have had over/under lines higher than 7 runs.

George Kirby Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is starting right-hander George Kirby today vs. the Padres, and he comes into the game with a record of 11-10 and an ERA of 3.61. Kirby has made 29 starts this year and has pitched well at home, going 5-4 with a 3.68 ERA. He has issued just 1.13 walks per nine innings compared to 8.73 strikeouts. Kirby’s WHIP for the season is 1.11. In his last outing, Kirby went six innings and gave up two earned runs on six hits. He picked up the win in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Julio Rodríguez has been a bright spot for the Mariners’ offense this season, batting .262 with 14 home runs and 49 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 8/25 in his last five games. Cal Raleigh has also been swinging a hot bat, going 7/21 in his last five games, and he is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Raleigh leads the Mariners with 29 homers and is 8th in the league with 90 RBIs.

As a team, the Mariners are batting just .219 this season, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in runs per game, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Overall, they are averaging 4.1 runs per game, and at home, that number drops down to 3.7 per contest.

Padres vs Mariners Prediction

Our pick for this Padres vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Mariners on the money line at -107. With a predicted final score of 6-5 in favor of the Mariners, you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have George Kirby finishing with six strikeouts compared to Yu Darvish with seven. However, we have Kirby finishing with more strikeouts, and you could look to take his strikeout line if that is an option.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.