San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 9/11/2024

The San Diego Padres (82-64) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (73-72) on Wednesday, September 11th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on None. The Padres are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mariners are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Padres. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Padres vs. Mariners Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Mariners (-111)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
  • Mariners have a strong home record with 41 wins and 29 losses.
  • Mariners have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
  • Mariners won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
  • Mariners have a better league rank (8th) compared to the Padres (4th) in their respective divisions.
  • Mariners have a positive run differential in their last 15 games, scoring 88 runs and allowing 72 runs.

Padres vs Mariners

san diego padres nba

San Diego picked up a 7-3 road win over the Mariners in the most recent game of this series. The Padres offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Mariners got on the board with one run in the 1st and added their final two runs in the 7th.

Yu Darvish only went five innings for the Padres but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued two walks. George Kirby struggled on the mound for the Mariners, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

Manny Machado and Fernando Tatis Jr. each homered for the Padres, while Luke Raley went deep for the Mariners. Victor Robles had a three-hit game at the plate for Seattle.

San Diego is 82-64 overall this season and is 4.5 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. They lead the Diamondbacks by a half-game for the second spot in the division. The Padres have a 6-4 record in their last ten games and are currently leading the Mariners 1-0 in this series.

On the run line, the Padres have a 74-72 record, including 45-26 on the road. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs this season, resulting in a 79-65 over/under record. The over has hit in their last three games, and their O/U record with a total of 7 runs is 11-2-1.

Michael King Gets The Start For The Padres

Right-hander Michael King gets the start for the Padres today as he faces the Mariners on the road. King has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-8 with an ERA of 3.10. In his 28 total appearances, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 10.63 strikeouts per nine innings. King’s last outing came on September 6th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. So far, he has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 3.50 compared to 3.36 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Padres lead the league in batting average, but they also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are 7th in runs scored at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. San Diego is also among the league leaders in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Over his last 10 games, Manny Machado has gone 14/41 with four homers and 15 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .276 with 26 home runs and 94 RBIs. Luis Arraez has also been hot of late, going 18/39 in his last nine games. He is batting .318 for the season and is on a nine-game hitting streak.

Seattle has a 41-29 record at home this season and is 73-72 overall, 4.5 games behind the Astros in the AL West. The Mariners have gone 22-17 against AL West opponents so far.

As underdogs, Seattle has a 19-26 record and is coming into today’s game having lost seven straight games in that role. Their overall run line record is 61-84, with a 29-41 mark at home and 32-43 on the road. The over/under record for Mariners games is 66-71, with games averaging 7.9 runs per game this season.

Bryan Woo Gets The Start For The Mariners

Seattle is sending right-hander Bryan Woo to the mound today vs. the Padres. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 7-2. Woo’s ERA is an impressive 2.36, along with a WHIP of .85. In his 18 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Woo picked up the win vs. the Athletics. In that outing, he went five innings, giving up two earned runs, and six strikeouts. One of the runs he allowed came via the home run. At home, he is 4-0 with a 1.46 ERA.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh and Luke Raley have been swinging the bat well for the Mariners of late, with both players going 7/20 in their last five games. Raleigh has two homers and six RBIs in that stretch, while Raley also has two homers and four RBIs. Raleigh is currently 11th in the league with 91 RBIs and is also 1st on the team with 30 homers. Overall, Raleigh is batting just .213 this season, while Raley comes in at .240.

Seattle’s offense has not been good this season, as they are 25th in the league at 4.1 runs per game. They are also the league’s worst team in terms of batting average and strikeout rate. As a team, the Mariners are batting just .220 and are averaging 10 strikeouts per game. So far, they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per contest.

Padres vs Mariners Prediction

We see the Mariners taking this one at home with a predicted final score of 6-5. Given that they are at -111 on the money line, this is the route we recommend going. Offensively, we have the Mariners finishing with nine hits compared to the Padres with nine.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Bryan Woo is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among starters. As for Michael King, he is projected to finish with seven, which is seventh best. However, we have King finishing with more earned runs than Woo.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.