Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Dodgers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 5/1/2024

The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-13) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-17) on Wednesday, May 1st. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Diamondbacks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Dodgers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Diamondbacks. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Diamondbacks vs Dodgers series. Arizona went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -106 and squeaked out a 4-3 win. The Diamondbacks had a two-run lead heading into the 5th inning, and the Dodgers could only muster one run in the 6th and added their final two runs in the 10th.

Landon Knack got the start for the Dodgers, going just five innings while giving up one run and striking out two. Nabil Crismatt took the loss. Brandon Hughes only went one inning for the Diamondbacks but didn’t give up a run.

Christian Walker was the difference for the Diamondbacks, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with three RBIs. Eugenio Suarez also had a two-hit game for Arizona.

Los Angeles is 19-13 overall and leads the NL West by four games over the Giants. The Dodgers are 6-4 in division games and will be on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks. The Dodgers dropped the series opener vs. the Diamondbacks but had won two straight series before that.

So far, the Dodgers have been the favorite in all but one of their games, and they are 10-4 as the road favorite. This season, the Dodgers have been really good in night games, going 12-5. At home, the Dodgers are 9-8 compared to a 10-5 mark on the road. Their overall series record is 6-5 this year.

When the Dodgers win, they tend to win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. But when they lose, they lose by an average of 2.5 runs per game. Overall, the Dodgers are 15-17 against the run line this season, including a 9-6 mark on the road. Their average run differential per game this season is +1.3 runs per game.

Los Angeles has played 36 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs for two of them. The Dodgers’ games have averaged 9.3 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 19-13. The over/under line for their games has been set at 9 runs for 30 of their games, which is 83.3% of their games. The Dodgers’ games have gone over the line in 15 of those games.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 3.54. He has made two quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Nationals, Yamamoto went six innings, picking up the win. This season, opponents are batting .224 off the right-hander. Yamamoto’s ERA at home is 13.72, compared to 0.0 on the road. So far, he has allowed three homers and is averaging 11.89 strikeouts per nine innings.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.6 runs per game. The Dodgers are also the league’s top home run-hitting team and have the league’s best team batting average. Mookie Betts and Will Smith have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Betts batting .368 and Smith at .362. Betts has also gone 12/27 in his last seven games.

Smith is also on a five-game hitting streak, and so is Andy Pages, who has gone 11/28 in his last seven games. Freddie Freeman is also on a 10-game hitting streak and has six RBIs in his last seven games. Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez are also in the top five in the league in home runs.

Arizona is hosting the Dodgers today with an overall record of 14-17, which has them 4th in the NL West. They are 4.5 games behind the Dodgers and Padres for the NL West lead. The Diamondbacks took the series opener vs. the Dodgers but dropped the final game of their series vs. the Mariners.

As the favorite, the Diamondbacks are 8-7 this year and 6-10 as the underdog. At home, they are 2-3 when favored. Arizona’s overall series record is 3-5-1, and they have lost two straight series.

Despite an average run margin of +0.8 runs per game, the Diamondbacks have been a losing proposition on the run line this season at 15-16. They have been a better bet at home, going 8-7 on the run line, compared to 7-9 on the road. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 9-7 on the run line, compared to 6-9 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +5.3, while it drops to -2.8 in losses.

The Diamondbacks’ over/under record for the season is 13-17, with an average combined run total of 9.6 runs per game. So far this season, 35.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, and 45.2% of their games have had lines set lower than 9 runs. In their last 10 games, their over/under record is 3-3 when the line is set at 9 runs.

Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Zac Gallen will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing against the Mariners, as he gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. In that start, he gave up a homer. Before that outing, he had pitched well, going 6 innings without giving up a run against the Cardinals. Gallen has made six starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with an ERA of 3.38. Opposing batters are hitting .242 this year off Gallen. The right-hander has made two quality starts this year.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Diamondbacks have been one of the league’s better offensive teams, averaging 5.2 runs per game (5th) and batting a collective .250 (7th). They have also been one of the league’s best home run hitting teams, with their 30 homers being 10th in the league. Arizona is also near the top of the league in both walks and on-base percentage.

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Diamondbacks, going 10/28 in his last eight games with four homers and nine RBIs. For the season, he is batting .283 and is 7th in the league with 22 RBIs. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Ketel Marte are also among the league leaders in RBIs, as they are both tied for 7th with 22 RBIs.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction

With the Diamondbacks being the underdogs at +113, we see this as a great opportunity to go with the Diamondbacks on the money line. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks, giving us some room to take them to win straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zac Gallen has the second-best strikeout projection among starters today, and he is also one of the top pitchers in terms of picking up a win. As for Yoshinobu Yamamoto, his strikeout projection is just average, and he ranks in the middle of the pack in terms of giving up runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.