The Cleveland Guardians (51-26) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (49-30) on Wednesday, June 26th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.
Guardians vs Orioles
Cleveland picked up a 10-8 road win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Orioles, they scored four of their eight runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at +131 on the money line.
Logan Allen got the start for Cleveland, going just three innings while giving up six runs and striking out five. He did not factor in the decision as Pedro Avila got the win out of the bullpen. Emmanuel Clase got the save. Cole Irvin had a rough outing for the Orioles, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.
Jose Ramirez and Gabriel Arias each had three hits and three RBIs for the Guardians’ offense. Ramirez, Bo Naylor, and Tyler Freeman each scored three times. On the other side, James McCann went 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs for Baltimore.
Cleveland is on a seven-game winning streak, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 51-26. The Guardians hold a nine-game lead over the Twins in the division. So far, they have gone 11-6 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Guardians have been great, going 26-9 this season. They have also been good on the road, putting together a record of 25-17. When playing during the day, Cleveland has gone 21-8 this year. As the road underdog, the Guardians are 13-10 this season, and they are 17-6-2 in series this year.
The Cleveland Guardians have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 45-32 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 25-17 against the run line. They have covered the run line in three straight games and are 20-7 as an underdog this season.
When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 37-34. The average over/under line for their games is 8 runs, and when the line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 1-1. Only 3.9% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, with just three games having that high of a line.
Carlos Carrasco Gets The Start For The Guardians
Right-hander Carlos Carrasco gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with a 5.40 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Carrasco has a WHIP of 1.39 and opponents are batting .265 this season. In his 13 starts, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 7.06 strikeouts per nine innings. Carrasco’s most recent outing was a good one, as he picked up the win vs. the Blue Jays, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had allowed at least five earned runs in three straight starts.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been one of the most productive 1-2 punches in the league this season, as Ramirez’s 72 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB, and Naylor’s 58 RBIs are 5th. Naylor has also been on a tear of late, going 10/33 in his last eight games with three homers and eight RBIs. Ramirez has also been hot, batting .353 with three homers and 10 RBIs in his last eight games. Steven Kwan has also been swinging a hot bat, going 14/37 in his last nine games.
Overall, the Guardians are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams and have the league’s 6th best isolated power figure. As a team, they are batting .246, which is 11th in the league.
Baltimore is 49-30 overall this season, and they are 2nd in the AL East, two games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles will be looking to snap a five-game losing streak today, which includes dropping the first two games of this series vs. the Guardians. So far, they have gone 19-7 in divisional games.
At home, the Orioles are 25-16 this season, and they are 24-14 on the road. As the favorite, the Orioles are 39-24 this year, and they are 10-6 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Orioles are 17-5-3 this year, and they are coming off a series win over the Blue Jays.
Despite a 2-game run line losing streak at home, the Orioles have been a profitable run line team at Camden Yards this season, going 22-19 on the run line. They have been even better on the road, going 24-14 on the run line. Overall, they are 46-33 on the run line this season, with an average run margin of +1.4 runs per game.
The Baltimore Orioles are playing at home against the Cleveland Guardians today, and the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Orioles and their opponents have combined to average 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 40-29. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in both games.
Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Grayson Rodriguez is getting the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Guardians at home. He has made 13 starts this year and has a record of 8-3 with a 3.82 ERA. Rodriguez’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29, and opponents are batting .241 off him this year. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Rodriguez has made six quality starts this year and is averaging 10.15 strikeouts per nine innings.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs this season, but they also have the best team batting average in the league, at .254. Overall, they are averaging 5.2 runs per game, and they have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Baltimore’s team slugging percentage of .459 is also the best in the league, and they have the best isolated power numbers in the league.
Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late, going 11/25 in his last six games. For the season, he is batting .300 with 14 homers and 53 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has been even better in the power department, as his 25 homers are 2nd in the league, and he is batting .282. Henderson also has a seven-game hitting streak coming into the game.
Guardians vs Orioles Prediction
Our prediction for this Guardians vs. Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 9.5 runs. Offensively, we have the Orioles finishing with 11 hits compared to the Guardians with nine.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Grayson Rodriguez finishing with more strikeouts than Carlos Carrasco. However, we have Rodriguez finishing with just five K’s, so his strikeout line is not something we would recommend targeting.
As for Carrasco, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is the fifth fewest among starters today. However, we do like the Guardians’ offense to finish with more runs than Carrasco’s final strikeout total.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 26, 2024 Guardians, Orioles