Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 5/12/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (24-16) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (12-28) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on NBCS. The White Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the White Sox. First pitch is set for 2:10 ET.

Guardians vs White Sox

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Chicago picked up a 3-1 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox offense only had two more hits than the Guardians and struck out six times, but still picked up a win thanks to a strong outing from Mike Clevinger, who went just 4 2/3 innings but gave up just one hit and one earned run.

Triston McKenzie started for the Guardians and took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up four hits and one earned run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued three walks.

At the plate, Josh Naylor was the only player for the Guardians to have more than one hit. He went 1/4 with a home run. Andrew Vaughn did the most damage for the White Sox, going 2/4 with an RBI.

Cleveland is on the road today, and they are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, having dropped the first three games of their series vs. the White Sox. Currently, the Guardians lead the AL Central by a half-game over the White Sox. So far, they are 6-5 in divisional games.

At 24-16 overall, the Guardians have the best record in the AL Central. Their overall record has been helped by going 12-6 at home and 12-10 on the road. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 11-4. As the favorite, the Guardians are 15-9 and 9-7 as the underdog. Cleveland has an overall series record of 9-3 and have won two straight series.

When the Cleveland Guardians are on the road, they have been a good bet against the run line, going 13-9. They have a run line record of 23-17 overall with an average run margin of +0.9 runs per game. They have been a better bet against the run line as the underdog, going 12-4, compared to 11-13 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5 runs per game, while it is -3.1 runs per game in losing games.

With the Cleveland Guardians on the road against the Chicago White Sox, the over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have an over/under record of 21-17 on the season, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-8. So far this season, only 10% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher, with the majority of their games having lower lines.

Logan Allen Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the White Sox, and he comes into the game with a record of 3-2 and an ERA of 6.41. Looking at his overall numbers, Allen has made eight starts, and opponents are batting .285 this season. Allen has made one quality start this year and is averaging 7.55 strikeouts per nine innings. The left-hander most recently pitched on May 7th vs. the Tigers, where he went 2 1/3 innings, giving up seven hits, seven earned runs, and two homers. He finished with a no decision in that outing.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Josh Naylor and José Ramírez have been swinging the bat well of late for the Guardians, with each player hitting four home runs in their last seven games. Naylor is 8/24 in that stretch, while Ramírez is 8/27. Naylor is also batting .275 for the season, which is 3rd best on the team, and his 11 homers is 2nd in the league. Ramírez is leading the Guardians with 33 RBIs.

As a team, the Guardians come into the game averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been a good home run hitting team so far and are batting a combined .238. As a team, they are 6th in home runs and have the 9th best home batting average in the league.

Chicago is 12-28 overall and trails the Guardians by 12 games in the AL Central. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-18. The White Sox have won four straight games, and their last three wins have come as the underdog. Chicago is just 4-16 on the road this year.

At home, the White Sox are 8-12 and have gone 7-12 as the underdog. This season, they are 1-0 as the favorite. Chicago’s overall series record is 2-9-1 this year, and they have a 6-4 record over their last 10 games.

When it comes to the run line, the White Sox have been a solid bet at home this season, with a 13-7 record compared to their 7-13 mark on the road. Their overall run line record is .500 at 20-20, but they have been a good bet as the underdog, going 19-20 against the run line. Their average run differential in losses is -3.9, but they have covered the run line in three straight games as the underdog.

The Chicago White Sox have had a combined run average of 8.0 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 18-21, and when the line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 5-6. In 52.5% of their games, the over/under line has been set lower than 8.5 runs. In their last game, the White Sox and Guardians combined for 4 runs, which was well below the over/under line of 8.0 runs.

Michael Soroka Gets The Start For The White Sox

Michael Soroka is still looking for his first win of the season, as he comes into today’s game with a record of 0-4 and ERA of 6.34 for the White Sox. Soroka has made eight starts this year and has only one quality start. His ERA at home is 7.0 compared to 6.29 on the road. In his last outing, Soroka gave up three earned runs in five innings of work. He took the loss in that game vs. the Rays. Soroka has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

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Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the league so far this season, averaging just 3 runs per game. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 2.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .214 and have the worst on-base percentage in the league. The White Sox have also struggled in the power department, ranking 19th in home runs and 29th in slugging percentage.

Paul DeJong has been one of the few bright spots in the White Sox lineup so far, as he is batting .252 with a team-high six home runs. DeJong has also been hot of late, going 10/26 in his last seven games with three homers. Andrew Vaughn is on a four-game hitting streak and is 7/28 in his last seven games.

Guardians vs White Sox Prediction

We see the Guardians picking up a 5-4 road win over the White Sox. However, with the Guardians at -173 on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs (-122). Our projections have the Guardians’ offense finishing 13th in the league in runs scored today.

Looking at the starters, we actually have Michael Soroka finishing with a better line than Logan Allen. Soroka is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Allen at five. Soroka is also predicted to finish with fewer earned runs.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.