The Cleveland Guardians (43-22) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (32-35) on Wednesday, June 12th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Guardians vs Reds
Cleveland picked up a 5-3 road win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Reds got on the board with one run in the 6th and added their final two runs in the 9th.
Triston McKenzie only went 5 1/3 innings for the Guardians but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued two walks. Emmanuel Clase closed things out for Cleveland. Nick Martinez had a rough outing for the Reds, taking the loss.
Josh Naylor and Steven Kwan each had three RBIs for the Guardians’ offense. Naylor and Bo Naylor each had two hits and scored two runs. For the Reds, Jesse Winker went 2/4 with two RBIs.
Cleveland is on a three-game winning streak, and they lead the AL Central with a record of 43-22. The Guardians hold a 5.5-game lead over the Royals for the division lead. So far, they have gone 11-6 in divisional matchups.
The Guardians have been really good at home, putting together a record of 21-8. On the road, they are 22-14 this season. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 18-6 this year. As the favorite, the Guardians are 30-14 and 13-8 as the underdog. Cleveland has an overall series record of 15-5-1 this year.
The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 37-28 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line as the underdog, going 16-5. They have covered the run line in three straight road games and are 21-15 on the run line away from home this season.
When the Cleveland Guardians play on the road, the over/under line is typically set at 8 runs per game. However, today’s line is set at 8.5 runs per game, which is higher than their average. So far this season, the Guardians have played 14 games with an over/under line set at 8.5 runs, and their record in those games is 5-10.
Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today as he faces the Reds on the road. Bibee has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 4-1 with a 3.73 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Bibee has a WHIP of 1.19 and opponents are batting .230 this season. He has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 9.77 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Bibee finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .271 with 18 homers and 62 RBIs, which is the best mark in the MLB. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 17 homers but has a batting average of just .224. Naylor has also struggled of late, hitting just .172 over his last seven games.
As a team, the Guardians are 4th in the league in scoring at 5.1 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .240 (11th) and have the league’s top on-base percentage. Cleveland has a few players on nice hitting streaks, with Steven Kwan having hits in seven straight games and Andrés Giménez with a three-game streak.
With a record of 32-35, the Reds are seven games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. Overall, they are 7-6 against other teams in the NL Central. The Reds will be looking to snap a two-game losing streak today, as they dropped the final game of their series vs. the Twins and lost the series opener to the Guardians.
At home, the Reds are 17-19 this season and 15-16 on the road. Cincinnati has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 8-12-1 this year. As the underdog, the Reds are 15-22 compared to 17-13 as the favorite.
When betting the run line on the Reds this season, it has been more profitable to do so when they are on the road. Cincinnati is 21-10 against the run line in away games, compared to 14-22 at home. The Reds have been a slight underdog in more games than they have been the favorite, and they have covered the run line in 21 of those games compared to 14 times as the favorite. Cincinnati’s overall run differential is just +0.2 runs per game, but they have been outscored by an average of 0.3 runs per game at home.
The Cincinnati Reds are home today against the Cleveland Guardians, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Reds have played to the over in 30 of their 64 games this season, and their games have averaged exactly 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Reds are 5-6 on the season. Cincinnati has played to the under in four straight games.
Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds
Cincinnati is sending left-hander Nick Lodolo to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 9 starts this year and has a record of 6-2. Lodolo’s ERA is an impressive 2.92, and he has a WHIP of .99. Out of his 9 starts, Lodolo has turned in 4 quality starts. The last time he pitched, he gave up just 1 earned run in 6 innings of work. Lodolo has won each of his last three starts. So far, he has been better at home, with an ERA of 3.44 compared to 2.57 on the road.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been one of the Reds’ top power threats this season, as his 11 homers are the best mark on the team and 11th best in the league. However, he has struggled of late, going just 2/18 in his last five games. For the season, he is batting just .232. Spencer Steer has also been a key power bat for the Reds, as he is 12th in the league with 41 RBIs and has gone deep seven times.
As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game and have been a better offensive team on the road this season. Overall, they are batting just .227 and are near the bottom of the league in terms of strikeouts. Cincinnati’s offense is also just 14th in home runs this season.
Guardians vs Reds Prediction
Our pick for this Guardians vs. Reds matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line, with the payout being -103. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 5-4, giving you a couple of different ways you could look to play this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Bibee finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for ninth among starters. As for Nick Lodolo, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is fifth best among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 12, 2024 Guardians, Reds