Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/29/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (37-18) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (19-35) on Wednesday, May 29th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 8:40 ET.

Guardians vs Rockies

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Cleveland cruised to a 13-7 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 1st inning, scoring 10 of their 13 runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their seven runs in the 4th and 6th innings.

Triston McKenzie only went five innings for the Guardians but gave up just two hits and four earned runs. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued three walks. Cade Smith got the win out of the bullpen. Peter Lambert had a rough outing for the Rockies, giving up six earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Josh Naylor and David Fry each homered for the Guardians, while Jose Ramirez went 2/3 with a home run and two RBIs. Kyle Manzardo also had a three-hit game and drove in a run.

Cleveland comes into today’s road matchup vs. the Rockies with an overall record of 37-18, which has them leading the AL Central by 3.5 games over the Royals. The Guardians have been playing really well, as they have gone 9-1 across their last 10 games and are 13-4 in series this year.

At home, the Guardians are 18-6 this year and have gone 19-12 on the road. This season, they have been really good in day games, going 16-4 so far. As the favorite, the Guardians are 25-10 and 12-8 as the underdog. Their series record has been boosted by winning four straight series.

When the Guardians are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 18-13. They have an average run margin of 1.6 runs per game away from home, which is slightly better than their 1.1 run margin at home. They have been a better bet to cover the run line as the underdog, going 15-5, compared to 17-18 as the favorite.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a part of high-scoring games recently, with the over hitting in three straight contests. However, the over/under line for their game against the Colorado Rockies is set at 11 runs, which is well above their season average of 8.9 runs per game. Cleveland has played to the over in 28 of their 52 games this season, but only one of those games had an over/under line of 11 runs.

Logan Allen Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending left-hander Logan Allen to the mound today vs. the Rockies. He has made 11 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with an ERA of 4.89. Allen has pitched much better on the road, coming in with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 3.51. At home, his ERA is 9.93. Allen has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. He got the win in that outing. Before that, he had back-to-back starts without giving up an earned run.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 16 homers are 3rd in the league and Naylor’s 15 round-trippers are 4th in the MLB. Ramirez also leads the league with 56 RBIs. Ramirez has been especially hot of late, going 15/40 with six homers in his last 10 games. Naylor has struggled a bit recently, hitting just .139 over his last nine games.

As a team, the Guardians are 2nd in the league in runs scored at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .239 as a team, which is 13th in the league. Cleveland’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season and has the 4th best isolated power mark in the league.

With a record of 19-35, the Rockies are 14.5 games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 8-12 in divisional games and have gone 7-21 on the road. At home, the Rockies are 12-14 this season.

Colorado has struggled as the underdog this year, going 19-35, and they have yet to win a series this year, coming in at 3-13-1. The Rockies are just 4-6 over their last 10 games, and they are currently tied with the Guardians in their series.

When the Rockies win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +3.2. However, when they lose, it’s often by a wide margin, as their average run differential in defeats is -3.9. Colorado’s run line record on the season is 29-25, and they are 14-12 against the run line at home and 15-13 on the road.

Colorado’s games have had an average of 9.8 runs per game, and the over/under record for Rockies games this season is 29-25. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 11 runs, which is higher than the average line for Colorado games this season (9 runs). So far this season, only 7.4% of Rockies games have had over/under lines set at 11 runs or higher. Colorado’s games have gone over the total in their last two games.

Ty Blach Gets The Start For The Rockies

Left-hander Ty Blach gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Guardians at home. He has made four starts this year and has a record of 1-2 with an ERA of 4.55. Opponents are batting .295 this year off Blach, and his WHIP for the season is 1.30. Blach’s last outing came on May 24th, where he finished with a no-decision, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. He has finished with a no-decision in three of his four starts this year.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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Coming into the game, the Rockies are batting .247 as a team, which is 8th in the league. However, they are near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the 19th ranked scoring offense in the MLB, averaging 4.2 runs per game. One thing to keep an eye on is their league-leading team BABIP of .32. Ezequiel Tovar and Ryan McMahon have been two of the Rockies’ top hitters this season, with both players batting .286.

Over his last four games, Charlie Blackmon is 6/15 with a home run and six RBIs. For the season, Blackmon is batting .286. Ezequiel Tovar is also hitting .286 this season and has gone 9/23 in his last five games. Ryan McMahon has struggled of late, going just 2/15 in his last five games.

Guardians vs Rockies Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Guardians vs. Rockies matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians. Given that they are on the money line at -153, we see this as a great payout for a team that we have winning by a run.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Logan Allen finishing with five strikeouts compared to Ty Blach with just four. We also have Allen going deeper into the game, as he is projected to finish with six innings compared to Blach at 5 1/3.

Offensively, we have the Guardians finishing with nine hits compared to the Rockies at nine as well. However, the Rockies are projected to finish with more strikeouts, as a team, than the Guardians.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.