Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 7/11/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (57-34) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (44-49) on Thursday, July 11th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSGL. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (+112)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • Guardians have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
  • Guardians have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Tigers.
  • Guardians have a better overall away record (27-23) compared to the Tigers’ home record (21-23).
  • Guardians have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.

Guardians vs Tigers

cleveland guardians nba

Detroit rallied for three runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Guardians series. The Tigers scored two runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up three in the 8th, picking up a 5-4 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +123 on the money line.

Reese Olson started for the Tigers and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and allowed one home run. As for the Guardians, Tanner Bibee got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in seven innings of work.

Detroit’s offense was led by Matt Vierling and Andy Ibanez, as they were the only two Tigers hitters to have more than one hit. Vierling, Ibanez, and Riley Greene each had two RBIs. For Cleveland, Daniel Schneemann hit the game’s only home run and drove in three runs.

As of now, Cleveland is leading the AL Central by five games over the Twins, with an overall record of 57-34. They have won two straight series, but have dropped two of three games in their current series vs. the Tigers.

When favored, the Guardians are 27-34 against the run line, but as underdogs, they have a 20-10 record. Their games have averaged 8 runs this season, with a 46-39 over/under record. Today’s O/U line of 8 runs is lower than their usual line, as 50.5% of their games have had higher totals.

Spencer Howard Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending Spencer Howard to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 5.62. So far, he has made two starts and seven appearances. Howard’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.83. In his last outing, which came out of the bullpen, he gave up six earned runs in 2 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he hadn’t given up an earned run in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .320 this season off Howard. Per nine innings, he has 7.87 strikeouts and 4.12 walks.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .246 and are 8th in home runs. Over the last seven games, Josh Naylor has gone 9/27 with two homers and nine RBIs. Steven Kwan is also swinging a hot bat, going 11/30 over the same stretch.

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power hitters this season, as Ramirez’s 23 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 22 round-trippers are 6th. Ramirez’s 77 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB, while Naylor is 4th with 70 RBIs.

As the favorite, the Tigers have struggled against the run line, going 10-29, but they have a 14-14 record as the home favorite straight up. Detroit is 44-49 overall and has won seven of their last ten games, including two of the first three in this series vs. the Guardians.

This season, Tigers games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 49-41. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8 runs, and their O/U record in games with that line is 11-10-2. So far, their run line record is 43-50, with a 26-23 mark on the road and 17-27 at home.

Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers

Through 15 starts, Jack Flaherty has a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 3.24. He has made nine quality starts this season and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Angels, where he took the loss. In that start, Flaherty gave up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had won three straight starts. Opponents are batting .219 vs. Flaherty this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.00. For the year, he has allowed 13 homers. Flaherty’s ERA at home is 3.86 compared to 2.85 on the road.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

detroit tigers

Over the Tigers’ last seven games, Colt Keith has been on a tear, going 11/26 with four home runs and eight RBIs. This has also helped him put together an eight-game hitting streak. For the season, Riley Greene is batting .260 with a team-high 45 RBIs and 17 homers, which is 11th in the league. Greene also has the top on-base percentage on the team.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their team batting average of .231 is 16th in the league, and they are also just 16th in home runs. Overall, the Tigers offense has been below average in terms of on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Guardians vs Tigers Prediction

We are in agreement with your pick to take the Guardians in this one, and we would recommend taking them on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +112. Our predicted final score is 6-4 in favor of the Guardians.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jack Flaherty finishing with six strikeouts compared to Spencer Howard with seven. However, we have Flaherty going for the Tigers and Howard finishing with the Guardians.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.