The Cleveland Guardians (63-42) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (52-55) on Monday, July 29th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSDET. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-119)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7 Runs
- The Guardians have scored 4 or more runs in 7 of their last 15 games.
- The Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 games against the Tigers.
- The Guardians have a better overall away record (30-27) compared to the Tigers’ home record (25-26).
- The Guardians have a higher league rank (1st in AL Central) compared to the Tigers (10th in AL).
- The Guardians have won 5 of their last 10 games, showing consistent performance.
Guardians vs Tigers
The Guardians Are Coming Off A Win
The Guardians are coming off a game in which they picked up a 4-3 win over the Phillies. This was especially big, as it closed out their series vs. Philadelphia. Cleveland was the +109 underdog going into this matchup. Offensively, the Guardians scored their four runs on nine hits and only hit two home runs.
Joey Cantillo got the start for the Guardians, going 3 1/3 innings, and took the no decision. He really struggled with his command, giving up three earned runs and issuing three walks. Jhonkensy Noel was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
As favorites, the Guardians are 45-23 straight up but 29-39 vs. the run line. Their overall series record this season is 21-9-3, and the under has hit in five consecutive games. The average run total in Guardians games this year is 8.4 runs per game.
Cleveland leads the AL Central by 4.5 games with a 63-42 record and are 17-15 in divisional matchups. On the road, they have a 30-27 record and a run line record of 29-28, with a +0.5 run differential per game.
Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Tigers. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.50 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09. In his 21 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Bibee finished with a no-decision vs. the Tigers, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One area of concern for Bibee is that he has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .240, and their team on-base percentage is .312 (12th). Cleveland’s offense has been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 5th in the league in this category.
José Ramírez has been the Guardians’ top power threat this season, as he is 8th in the league with 24 homers. His 82 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB. Over his last eight games, Jhonkensy Noel has two homers and is batting .250. Steven Kwan has also gone deep twice in his last nine games, but he is batting just .235 in this stretch.
The Tigers Took The Last Game Of This Series
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Twins with a 5-0 loss. Detroit was the +125 underdog at home going into the game. Things started off well for the Tigers, as Alex Faedo didn’t give up a run in the first inning but took the loss. He only lasted one inning, giving up the game’s only run. Detroit’s offense was held scoreless and only had one hit. The Tigers didn’t have a single player score a run.
Alex Kirilloff was the only Twins player to have more than one hit, going 2-4 with a run scored. Minnesota’s big inning was the 9th, where they scored three runs. The Tigers started Alex Faedo, and he took the loss, going only one inning. Detroit’s offense was also hurt by the fact that they didn’t have Riley Greene in the lineup. He was given the day off.
As underdogs, the Tigers have a 30-35 record and a 54-53 run line record overall. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games and trail the Guardians by 12 games in the AL Central with a 52-55 overall record.
When the over/under line is set at 7 runs, the over has hit in 5 games and the under has hit in 5 games. The average over/under line for Tigers games this season has been 8 runs, with the over hitting in 58 out of 94 games with higher lines.
Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers
Through 18 starts, Jack Flaherty has a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 2.95. He has made 11 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.22 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Flaherty finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.62 compared to 2-3 with a 3.52 ERA at home.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Tigers offense has been pretty average, scoring 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a little better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game, and have the 14th most home runs in the league. However, the Tigers are batting just .231 as a team, and their on-base percentage of .297 is also near the bottom of the league.
Riley Greene and Matt Vierling have been the Tigers’ top power threats this season, with Greene’s 17 homers leading the team and Vierling’s 13 homers coming in as the 2nd most on the team. Greene also comes into the game with a team-best batting average of .264. Javier Baez has struggled of late, going just 3/17 in his last five games.
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Guardians. Given that we have the Guardians coming out on top and that they are at -119 on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick up a win.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Tanner Bibee finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fifth among starters. As for Jack Flaherty, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth.
Offensively, the Guardians are projected to finish with 10 hits, compared to the Tigers at eight. If you’re looking for a final score, we have the Guardians winning 5-4.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 29, 2024 Guardians, Tigers