The Cleveland Guardians (56-33) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (43-48) on Tuesday, July 9th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on BSDET. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Tigers (+122)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- In their last 15 games, the Tigers have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games, showing a strong offensive trend.
- The Tigers have won 4 of their last 5 home games, indicating a strong home-field advantage.
- In the last 15 games, the Tigers have a winning record of 9-6, while the Guardians have a 5-10 record.
- The Tigers have a 4-game winning streak, showcasing their recent momentum.
- In head-to-head matchups this season, the Tigers have won 2 out of 3 games against the Guardians.
Guardians vs Tigers
Detroit picked up a 1-0 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Tigers had just one more hit than the Guardians and struck out seven times, but still picked up the win. Heading into the game, they were at +122 on the money line.
Keider Montero started for the Tigers and went 6 1/3 innings while striking out four and not giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game and now has a 2.84 ERA on the season. Shelby Miller got the save out of the bullpen.
Gavin Williams only went 5 1/3 innings for the Guardians but didn’t give up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but took the loss. Scott Barlow got the loss out of the bullpen.
Today’s game features the Cleveland Guardians, who are 40-19 as favorites and have an overall record of 56-33, leading the AL Central by five games over the Twins. The Guardians have a 30-11 home record but have dropped two straight on the road, where they are 26-22.
When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, the Guardians have a 12-13 record this season. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, with 44 games having lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.
Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending Ben Lively to the mound today vs. the Tigers, and he has done most of his work at home this year. Lively is 5-0 at home with a 2.56 ERA, compared to 3-4 on the road with a 3.8 ERA. Overall, he is 8-4 with a 3.14 ERA. Lively’s WHIP for the season is 1.16, and he is coming off a start in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. He got the win in that outing vs. the White Sox. In 14 starts, Lively has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 76 RBIs are the 2nd most in the MLB. He also has 23 homers, which is the 4th most in the league and the top mark on the Guardians. However, he has struggled a bit at the plate of late, hitting just .200 over his last 10 games. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 66 is the 5th best mark in the league. Naylor is 2nd on the team with 21 homers.
As a team, the Guardians are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in batting average and have the league’s 7th best on-base percentage. Currently, they have a collective batting average of .245.
As underdogs, the Tigers have a 31-21 run line record, but as favorites, they are just 10-29. Their overall run line record is 41-50, with an average run margin of -0.2. Detroit’s games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, resulting in a 47-41 over/under record. The under has hit in their last three games, and their O/U record in games with an 8.5 run line is 10-10.
With a 43-48 record, the Tigers are 14 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central and have won four straight games. Their overall series record this season is 11-14-4, and they are currently in 4th place in the division.
Kenta Maeda Gets The Start For The Tigers
Kenta Maeda gets the start for the Tigers today vs. the Guardians and comes in with a record of 2-5 and an ERA of 6.71. Looking back at his last outing, Maeda took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings vs. the Twins. In that outing, he gave up nine hits, three earned runs, and one homer. Before that, he had given up a homer in three straight outings. Maeda’s ERA on the road is 11.25, compared to 4.67 at home. So far, he has made 15 appearances and two of them have been quality starts.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Over his last six games, Colt Keith has been on fire for the Tigers, going 10/24 with three homers and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting just .213 for the season. Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .258 with 17 homers and a team-leading 45 RBIs. Greene’s 17 homers are 10th in the league.
For the season, the Tigers are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. As a team, they are batting just .230 and have an on-base percentage of only .294. Detroit’s team OPS of .671 is also 24th in the league.
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction
Our pick for this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line at +122. With the payout at +122, you could also look to take the Tigers on the run line, as we have them winning by a score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Kenta Maeda has the second-best projected hits allowed among starters and is a good option to pick up a win. As for Ben Lively, he ranks 17th in terms of his chances to get a win and has a few of the worst projections in terms of hits and earned runs allowed.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 9, 2024 Guardians, Tigers