Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8/10/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (67-49) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (65-50) on Saturday, August 10th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSGL. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.

Guardians vs. Twins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Twins (-119)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Twins have won 7 out of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • In their last 5 home games, the Twins have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game.
  • The Twins have won both of their last two head-to-head games against the Guardians, scoring a total of 10 runs while allowing only 5.
  • The Twins have a better home record (34-21) compared to the Guardians’ away record (32-29).
  • The Twins have outscored their opponents by a total of 18 runs in their last 3 home games.

Guardians vs Twins

cleveland guardians nba

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Guardians series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight favorites at -107 and squeaked out a 6-3 win. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Guardians and struck out four more times, but still picked up a win.

Cleveland’s starter, Alex Cobb, went just 4 2/3 innings while giving up four hits and four earned runs. He took the loss in the game. Minnesota’s starter, Louie Varland, also only went 4 2/3 innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs.

Josh Naylor hit the game’s only home run while going 1/4 with three RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Matt Wallner did the same for the Twins, going 1/3 with three RBIs.

On the road, Cleveland has a 32-29 record and they have won two straight series away from home. Overall, the Guardians are 67-49, leading the AL Central by 1.5 games over the Twins. Their series record this season is 21-11-4.

For the season, the Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs and their over/under record is 57-52. When the O/U line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 17-14.

Gavin Williams Gets The Start For The Guardians

Gavin Williams gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Twins on the road. So far, he has made seven starts and has a record of 1-4 with an ERA of 4.91. Williams’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.49. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had picked up the win, going five innings and not giving up a run. Williams has made one quality start this year and is averaging 10.64 strikeouts per nine innings.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Over the past 10 games, both José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been swinging the bat well for the Guardians, with both players hitting four home runs. During this stretch, Ramírez has gone 13/38, while Naylor is 10/38. For the season, Ramírez is batting .281 with a team-high 96 RBIs and 30 homers, which is 4th in the league. Naylor is right behind him in terms of RBIs, with 85, and is 2nd on the team with 26 homers.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are 12th in home runs. Their team batting average of .241 is 14th in the league, and they are also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. Overall, their team OPS of .709 is 14th in the league.

Minnesota has been a strong favorite this season, posting a 52-29 record in that role. Overall, the Twins are 65-50 and have won six straight at home. They trail the Guardians by 1.5 games in the AL Central and have taken the first two games of this series.

Against the run line, Minnesota is 57-58 and has covered in six straight games. Their average run differential is +0.5 runs per game, and the over/under record for their games is 60-52. The O/U record for games with an 8.5 run total is 17-16.

Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins

Minnesota is sending Simeon Woods Richardson to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 19 starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 3.87 ERA. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.23. In his 19 starts, he has turned in six quality starts and is averaging 7.93 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander most recently faced the White Sox, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that outing, he had not given up an earned run in three straight starts.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Santana has 15 homers and Jeffers has 17. Santana has gone deep in three of his past five games, and over that stretch, he is 6/19. However, Jeffers is just 1/11 in his last three games. Willi Castro has been a solid contributor this season, batting .260 with eight homers.

Minnesota’s offense has been good this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game (7th). They are also among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Currently, Christian Vázquez, Carlos Santana, and Matt Wallner are all on hitting streaks.

 

Guardians vs Twins Prediction

 

There are a few ways you could look to play this one, but our top pick would be to take the Twins on the money line at -119. We actually have the Twins winning this one 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to go five innings and finish with five strikeouts. As for the Guardians starter, Gavin Williams, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, and he actually has the highest strikeout projection of any starter today.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.