Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 8/11/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (68-49) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (65-51) on Sunday, August 11th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 1:10 CT.

Guardians vs. Twins Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-115)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
  • Guardians have a recent head-to-head win against the Twins, scoring 2 runs and allowing only 1 on August 10th.
  • Guardians have won 3 out of their last 5 away games.
  • Guardians have a higher league rank (3rd) compared to the Twins (4th).
  • Guardians have a better division rank (1st) compared to the Twins (2nd).

Guardians vs Twins

cleveland guardians nba

Cleveland picked up a 2-1 road win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run 6th inning and the Twins could only muster one run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at -105 on the money line.

Gavin Williams started for the Guardians and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Emmanuel Clase closed things out. Simeon Woods Richardson had a good outing for the Twins, taking the loss after going seven innings and giving up two earned runs.

Bo Naylor and Steven Kwan each had two hits and an RBI for the Guardians’ offense. Josh Naylor also had a two-hit game. Minnesota’s top hitter was Jorge Polanco, who went 3/4.

Currently, Cleveland is in a bit of a slump, having lost 7 of their last 10 games and trailing the Twins 2-1 in their current series. This has led to their overall run line record being 57-60, with a 25-30 record at home and 32-30 on the road. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, their O/U record is 17-15.

Despite their recent struggles, Cleveland still holds a 2.5-game lead over the Twins in the AL Central, with a 68-49 overall record. This season, 24 of their games have had over/under lines of 8.5 runs, and their overall O/U record is 57-53.

Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 22 starts this year and has a record of 9-4 with a 3.48 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work vs. the Tigers, picking up the win. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without giving up an earned run. Bibee’s ERA at home is 4.47, compared to 3.10 on the road.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Cleveland’s offense has been solid this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, the Guardians are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and they are also near the top of the league in terms of fewest strikeouts per game. Cleveland’s offense is also 11th in the league in home runs.

José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been leading the way for the Guardians this season, as they are 1-2 in home runs and have the top two spots in terms of RBIs. Over his last 10 games, Ramírez is batting .316 with three homers, while Naylor has also gone deep three times in this stretch while batting .297.

Minnesota has a 65-51 overall record and is 2nd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 2.5 games. They have a 26-15 record in divisional games this season and have won two of the first three games in this series.

The Twins have an over/under record of 60-53 this season, with their games averaging 9.2 runs per game. Against the run line, they are 57-59 overall, and their average run margin per game is 0.5. Heading into today’s game, the Twins have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games.

David Festa Gets The Start For The Twins

David Festa is making his fourth start of the season for the Twins and is looking to build off of a strong outing in his last start, where he went 5 innings and struck out 9 batters. He has yet to go more than 5 innings in a start this season, but he has been able to rack up 22 strikeouts in just 15 innings of work.

Twins Offense Breakdown

minnesota twins

Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers have been the Twins’ top power threats this season, as Santana is 2nd on the team with 15 homers, and Jeffers is just behind him with 17 long balls. However, both players are looking to get back on track, as Santana has gone 2/14 in his last four games, while Jeffers has also gone 2/14 in his last four games. Santana has gone 6/22 in his last six games, including one homer.

Willi Castro has been swinging the bat well of late, going 2/5 in his last two games and is batting .260 for the season. He also has eight homers, which is 7th on the team. Matt Wallner has also been swinging the bat well, going 5/14 in his last four games with a home run and five RBIs.

Guardians vs Twins Prediction

Our pick for this Guardians vs. Twins matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -115. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under, and we would take the over at 8.5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tanner Bibee is projected to pick up seven strikeouts, and he has the second-best strikeout projection among today’s starters. As for David Festa, he is projected to finish with five K’s, which is the fourth-worst among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.