Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs New York Yankees Prediction 10/14/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (92-69) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (94-68) on Monday, October 14th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on TBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:38 CT.

Guardians vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-162)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs
  • The Yankees have won 4 of their last 5 home games, showcasing strong recent performance at home.
  • In their last 15 games, the Yankees have scored 6 or more runs in 6 games, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Yankees have a better overall record (94-68) compared to the Guardians (92-69), suggesting a stronger season performance.
  • In their last head-to-head series against the Guardians, the Yankees won 2 out of 3 games, including a dominant 8-1 victory at home.
  • The Yankees have a positive run differential in their last 15 games, scoring 92 runs while allowing 75, indicating effective offense and defense.

Guardians vs Yankees

cleveland guardians nba

The Guardians Are Coming Off A Win

Led by a big game by Lane Thomas at the plate, the Guardians are coming off a 7-3 win over the Tigers to close out their series. Thomas went 2/4 with five RBIs and a homer. The Guardians really broke things open with a five-run 2nd inning. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Guardians were the slight underdog at -102.

Matthew Boyd got the start for the Guardians, going two innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out five Tigers. Tim Herrin picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save.

As the Guardians prepare for their playoff matchup against the Yankees, they’ll look to snap a two-game losing streak. Cleveland finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, going 50-30 at home and 42-39 on the road. As favorites, they were 66-37, while they went 29-34 as underdogs.

Against the run line, Cleveland posted an 84-82 record this season, with a run-scoring margin of +0.6 per game. On the road, they went 43-40 against the run line. The Guardians’ over/under record is 70-84, and 68.9% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line. The over has hit in their last two games.

Alex Cobb Gets The Start For The Guardians

Alex Cobb is getting the start for the Guardians on the road against the Yankees. He has a 1-2 record through his first three starts of the season. Cobb’s most recent outing was a loss to the Tigers, where he went 3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 3 hits and struck out 2.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 39 homers are 5th best in the league and leads the Guardians. He also has 118 RBIs, which is 3rd best in the MLB. Ramirez has gone 5/19 in his last six games, with two homers and six RBIs. Not to be outdone, Josh Naylor is also having a strong season for the Guardians, as he is 2nd on the team with 31 homers and is 6th in the league with 108 RBIs.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are batting .238, which is 14th in the league. They have been better at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Currently, Lane Thomas, Brayan Rocchio, and Steven Kwan are all on hitting streaks for the Guardians.

The Yankees Are Coming Off A Win

Gerrit Cole was excellent in his last start for the Yankees, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. New York’s offense scored their other three runs in the 1st inning of their 3-1 win over the Royals. The Yankees were heavy favorites going into the game and got off to a good start, with Gleyber Torres driving in a run with a single in the 1st.

The Yankees’s offense was carried by Giancarlo Stanton, who went 2/3 with a double and a run scored. The Yankees also had Luke Voit back in the lineup, and he went /3 with a run scored.

As the Yankees prepare to host Cleveland, they’ll look to build on their 94-68 regular season record. New York went 44-37 at home this year, compared to 50-31 on the road. They’ve won two straight games as the favorite, and their record in that role is 79-61.

New York’s run line record for the season is 85-81, with a home run margin of +0.4 per game, compared to +1.4 on the road. At home, their run line record is 35-48. The under has hit in three straight Yankees games, and their overall over/under record is 87-74. Today’s 7.5-run line is lower than 86.4% of their games this season.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing, as he gets the start for the Yankees today. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, going just 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Looking back over his last three starts, Rodón has given up at least two earned runs in each outing. Before this rough stretch, he had put together three straight starts without giving up an earned run. Rodón’s ERA for the season is 3.96, along with a record of 16-9. Out of his 32 starts, he has 16 quality starts and is averaging 10.03 strikeouts per nine innings.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

For the season, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .248, which is 7th in the league, and have the best walk rate in the league.

Aaron Judge has been the league’s top home run hitter this season and is also the league leader in RBIs. He has a batting average of .322 and has gone deep 58 times. However, he has just two home runs in his last seven games and is hitting just .208 in that stretch. Juan Soto is also among the league’s top home run hitters, with 41 homers, and is batting .288 for the season.

Guardians vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for the Yankees vs. Guardians matchup is to take the under, as we see this one finishing with a 3-2 win for the Yankees. You could also look to bet the Yankees on the money line, but at -162, we don’t see the payout being worth the risk.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Carlos Rodón finishing with six strikeouts compared to Alex Cobb with five. As for the Guardians lineup, we have them combining for nine strikeouts compared to the Yankees with eight.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.