Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 9/20/2024

The Cleveland Guardians (89-65) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (77-76) on Friday, September 20th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pirates. First pitch is set for 7:15 CT.

Guardians vs. Cardinals Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Cardinals (-114)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Cardinals have won 7 of their last 10 home games.
  • The Cardinals have outscored their opponents 37-20 in their last 7 home games.
  • The Cardinals have a 5-2 record in their last 7 games against teams with a winning record.
  • The Cardinals have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 10 home games.
  • The Cardinals have a 5-1 record in their last 6 games following a loss.

Guardians vs Cardinals

cleveland guardians nba

The Guardians Are Coming Off A Win

The Guardians wrapped up their series vs. the Twins with a 3-2 win. Cleveland was the slight favorite at -107 on the money line going into the game. It was a big 1st inning for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run and added two more in the 4th.

Joey Cantillo got the start for the Guardians, going 4 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up one run on three hits and issued just three walks. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Kyle Manzardo, who went 3/3 with a homer and scored a run.

Cleveland heads into today’s game with a 6.5-game lead in the AL Central, sporting an 89-65 overall record. They have won two straight games and are 7-3 in their last 10. As the favorite, the Guardians are 62-33, and they are 21-12 on the road when favored. Overall, they have a 28-15-6 series record and won their last series vs. the Twins.

Against the run line, the Guardians are 78-76, including a 41-37 mark on the road. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs, and the O/U record for games with an 8.5-run line is 20-20 this season. Today’s O/U line of 8.5 runs represents 18.8% of their games played.

Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians

Right-hander Ben Lively gets the start for the Guardians today as he faces the Cardinals on the road. Lively has made 27 starts this season and has a record of 12-9 with a 3.87 ERA. So far, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Lively picked up the win, going five innings and not allowing a run. Before that, he had given up at least one homer in three straight outings. Lively’s ERA on the road is 4.1 compared to 3.96 at home.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 35 homers are 7th in the league, while Naylor’s 31 long balls are 10th in the MLB. Ramirez also leads the team with 107 RBIs, which is 6th in the league, while Naylor is right behind him with 105 RBIs. Over his last eight games, Ramirez is batting .290, while Naylor is at .258.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and have the 12th most home runs in the league. Cleveland has a few players on some solid hitting streaks, with Kyle Manzardo and Steven Kwan both on four-game streaks.

The Cardinals Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Cardinals will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Pirates with a 3-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Pirates scored a run in the top of the 8th to tie things up. St. Louis was the -148 favorite at home going into the game.

Erick Fedde put together a good start for the Cardinals, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and striking out three. However, the Cardinals couldn’t close things out, and JoJo Romero took the loss out of the bullpen. The Cardinals also wasted a big game from Brendan Donovan, who went 4/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored.

St. Louis has a 77-76 overall record this season and is 11 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They are one game behind the Cubs for the second spot in the division. The Cardinals’ series record is 25-20-5, and they are coming off winning their series vs. the Pirates.

On the run line, St. Louis is 77-76 overall, including a 52-28 record as underdogs. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, resulting in a 71-78 over/under record for the season.

Kyle Gibson Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Right-hander Kyle Gibson gets the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the Guardians at home. He has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 8-7 with a 4.12 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Gibson has a WHIP of 1.33 and has issued 3.49 walks per nine innings compared to 8.12 strikeouts. In his last outing, he took the loss, giving up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had a streak of three straight starts without giving up an earned run.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

st. louis cardinals

St. Louis comes into today’s game with the 24th ranked scoring offense in the MLB, averaging 4.1 runs per game. This number is even lower on the road, where they are averaging just 4 runs per contest. As a team, the Cardinals are batting .246, which is 10th in the league, and they have been pretty good at avoiding strikeouts, as their 8 strikeouts per game is the 9th best mark in the league.

The Cardinals have a few hitters with good home run numbers this season, as Alec Burleson and Paul Goldschmidt are tied for the team lead with 21 homers. Brendan Donovan has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/22 in his last six games with a home run and five RBIs. This has pushed his season average up to .277, which is 2nd on the team.

Guardians vs Cardinals Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Guardians vs. Cardinals matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Cardinals. We are recommending that you take the Cardinals on the money line at -114. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Kyle Gibson finishing with more strikeouts than Ben Lively.

If you’re looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Cardinals with the over. The line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and we have this game going over that mark.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.