The Houston Astros (69-59) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (75-55) on Saturday, August 24th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on None. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Astros vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (+109)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Orioles have scored 7 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
- The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Orioles have a better overall home record (38-29) compared to the Astros’ away record (34-30).
- The Orioles have won 3 out of their last 4 games against teams with a winning record.
- The Orioles have a higher league rank (2nd in AL) compared to the Astros (6th in AL).
Astros vs Orioles
Baltimore rallied for five runs in the 8th inning in the most recent game of this Orioles vs. Astros series. The Orioles scored two runs in the 2nd inning but didn’t score another run until putting up five in the 8th, picking up a 7-5 win. Heading into the game, the Orioles were at +101 on the money line.
Hunter Brown pitched well for the Astros in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Bryan Abreu took the loss.
Craig Kimbrel got the win for the Orioles out of the bullpen, while Seranthony Dominguez got the save. Cade Povich only went five innings for the Orioles, giving up five runs on eight hits.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 69-59 and hold a 4.5-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. They are looking to bounce back after losing the second game of this series against the Orioles. On the run line, Houston is 64-64 for the season, with a 29-35 record at home and 35-29 on the road. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, and in losing games, it is -3.1.
As favorites, the Astros have a 52-43 straight-up record, but they are 42-53 against the run line. Their over/under record for the season is 51-73, and games have averaged 8.6 runs. This season, 28.9% of their games have had higher totals than today’s line of 8.5 runs.
Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros
Framber Valdez gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 13-5 with a 3.20 ERA. Valdez has pitched well as of late, coming into the game with a six-game winning streak. In his last outing, he went seven innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up the win. Valdez has allowed just one earned run in each of his last three outings. This season, he has one complete game and 13 quality starts. Valdez’s ERA at home is 3.50, compared to 3.91 on the road.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Yordan Alvarez has been the Astros’ top power threat this season, as his 25 homers are the best mark on the team and 13th in the league. Alvarez is also 2nd on the team with 67 RBIs. Overall, the Astros are one of the league’s best offensive teams, as they are 2nd in batting average and 3rd in strikeouts. As a team, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game.
Yainer Diaz has been hot of late, going 12/37 in his last nine games with three homers. This has pushed his season average to .303, which is 3rd best on the team. Diaz also leads the Astros with 71 RBIs. Diaz is also on a seven-game hitting streak. Kyle Tucker and Jake Meyers are also on hitting streaks for the Astros.
As underdogs, the Orioles have been profitable on the run line, with a 20-7 record. Their overall run line record is 72-58, with a 39-24 record on the road and 33-34 at home. Baltimore’s games have averaged 9.4 runs this season, resulting in a 70-50 over/under record. When the O/U line is 8.5, their record is 21-16.
In the AL East, the Orioles are 1.5 games behind the Yankees with a 75-55 record. This season, they have a 61-42 record as favorites and 14-13 as underdogs. The Orioles’ overall series record is 23-12-6, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games heading into today’s matchup with the Astros.
Albert Suárez Gets The Start For The Orioles
Albert Suárez is getting the start for the Orioles today vs. the Astros and comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.18. So far this season, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .243 off the right-hander. Suárez’s last outing came vs. the Red Sox, where he picked up the win, going six innings and not allowing a run. He has made four quality starts this year and is averaging 7.29 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last three outings, Suárez has finished with a no-decision in each one.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Anthony Santander has not been great over his last five games, hitting just .200, but he does have two homers in that stretch and is still batting .238 for the season. Gunnar Henderson has been a bright spot for the Orioles, as he is batting .284 for the season and has 33 homers, which is 2nd on the team and 6th in the league.
Overall, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting team and are 3rd in the league in runs at 5 per game. They are also the top team in terms of isolated power and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting .253, which is 6th in the league.
Astros vs Orioles Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Astros vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line, with the payout being +109. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Framber Valdez is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and Albert Suarez is predicted to finish with five as well. However, Suarez is a much better option in terms of picking up a win, as he has the Orioles’ starter with the 11th best chances of getting a win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 24, 2024 Astros, Orioles