The Houston Astros (75-62) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (65-73) on Monday, September 2nd. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on None. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 3:10 CT.
Astros vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+140)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored 10 or more runs in 3 of their last 15 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
- The Reds have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, indicating strong recent home performance.
- The Reds have won 4 of their last 6 home games against teams with winning records, demonstrating their ability to compete against strong opponents.
- The Reds have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 15 games, indicating a consistent offensive output.
- The Reds have a 3-1 record in their last 4 home games against AL West opponents, showing success in interleague play.
Astros vs Reds
The Astros Are Coming Off A Win
The Astros’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Royals, closing out their series with a 7-2 win. After going just 1-3 in the 1st inning, the Astros really broke things open with a three-run 4th. Houston went on to add another three runs in the 8th inning.
Ronel Blanco put together a good start for the Astros, going five innings and not giving up a run. He also issued just three hits and struck out three. Yordan Alvarez was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with two homers and two RBIs.
Heading into today’s game, the Astros have won five straight and hold a six-game lead over the Mariners in the AL West. Their overall series record is 24-18-2, and they are 71-66 against the run line this season. As favorites, they have a 57-43 record straight up and are 25-12 vs. the run line.
Today’s over/under line of 9.5 runs is higher than the average line for Astros games, which is 9 runs. When the total has been set at 9.5 runs, Houston’s O/U record is 2-4. The Astros’ average run differential this season is +0.6 runs per game.
Justin Verlander Gets The Start For The Astros
Right-hander Justin Verlander gets the start for the Astros today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 3-4 with an ERA of 4.16. Verlander’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss after giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. Verlander has allowed at least one homer in four of his last five starts.
Astros Offense Breakdown
Yordan Alvarez has been on a tear for the Astros, as he is batting .314 for the season and has gone 11/23 (.478) over his last six games, with five homers in that stretch. Alvarez’s 30 homers this season are 7th in the league. Yainer Diaz also has been a big power threat for the Astros, as his 75 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he has 16 homers.
As a team, the Astros are 7th in home runs and 3rd in batting average. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. Houston has been a good home run hitting team and have been good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are 26th in the league in walks.
The Reds Are Coming Off A Win
The Reds’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 4-3 win. After allowing one run to the Brewers in the top of the first, the Reds responded with two runs of their own. Cincinnati went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Brandon Williamson got the start for the Reds, going 3 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He also issued just two runs on four hits and struck out five. Jake Fraley only had one hit, but it was a home run, and Jonathan India had a good day at the plate, going 3/4 with a run scored.
As the underdog, the Reds have been a good bet vs. the run line, going 46-26, but as the favorite, they are 27-39. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.8, while it’s -3.2 in losses. Cincinnati’s overall over/under record is 65-66, with their games averaging 8.8 runs per game.
Cincinnati is 65-73 overall, 15.5 games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. They have lost three straight series and are 3-7 in their last ten games. At home, the Reds are 33-39, and on the road, they are 32-34.
Julian Aguiar Gets The Start For The Reds
Julian Aguiar will be making his third start of the season, and he has been solid in his first two outings. Aguiar picked up a win in his first start, and in his last outing, he went 4 innings and gave up 6 hits and 6 runs, but he did strike out 10 batters in that game.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been the Reds’ most consistent power threat this season, as he is 15th in the league with 22 homers while batting .263. His 61 RBIs are also the 2nd most on the team. Spencer Steer has also been a big power threat, as his 19 homers is 3rd on the team and he is 11th in the league with 85 RBIs. However, he is batting just .236 this season.
Over his last six games, Tyler Stephenson has been swinging a hot bat, going 8/22 with a homer and five runs scored. Will Benson has also gone deep twice in his last six games but is batting just .214 in that stretch. Nick Martini comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak.
Astros vs Reds Prediction
Getting the Reds at +140 on the money line is a great value pick for today’s Astros vs. Reds matchup. We actually have the Reds winning this game by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Julian Aguiar actually has a better projected strikeout total than Justin Verlander. Aguiar is projected to finish with seven K’s, which has him as the sixth best among all starters today.
As for Verlander, we have him finishing with seven strikeouts, which has him as the ninth best. If you’re looking for a player prop bet, you could look to take the over on Verlander’s strikeout total.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:September 2, 2024 Astros, Reds