Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Houston Astros vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 4/28/2024

The Houston Astros (8-19) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (7-20) on Sunday, April 28th. This game will be played at Estadio Alfredo Harp Helu in Mexico City and televised on ESPN. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rockies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 4:05 ET.

Astros vs Rockies

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Houston cruised to an easy 12-4 win over the Rockies in the most recent game of this series. The Astros had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their twelve runs. As for the Rockies, they scored their four runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Astros were favored at -216 on the money line.

Ronel Blanco got the win for the Astros, going just 5 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs. Cal Quantrill had a rough outing for the Rockies, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up six earned runs.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker each homered for the Astros, while Ryan McMahon went deep for the Rockies. Alvarez, Tucker, Yainer Diaz, and Mauricio Dubon each had two hits and scored three times for Houston’s offense.

Houston is on the road today vs. the Rockies with an overall record of 8-19, which has them 5th in the AL West, seven games behind the Mariners. The Astros are 4-3 in divisional games this year. The Astros finally picked up a win in their most recent game vs. the Rockies. This came after dropping five straight spanning between their series vs. the Nationals and Cubs.

So far, the Astros have really struggled on the road, going 4-10 compared to 4-9 at home. As the favorite, the Astros are just 6-16 and 2-10 as the favorite on the road. Houston’s overall series record is 2-5-1, and they have lost three straight series.

When the Astros win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is +5.6. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of -3.8 runs. Their overall run line record is 9-18, with a 5-8 mark at home and a 4-10 record on the road. As the favorite, they are 6-16 vs. the run line, while they are 3-2 as the underdog.

The Houston Astros and Colorado Rockies combined for 16 runs in their game on Tuesday night, which was under the over/under line of 16.5 runs. The under has now hit in six straight games for the Astros, who have an over/under record of 8-17 on the season. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs.

Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros

Framber Valdez is on the mound for the Astros as they take on the Rockies. Valdez has started two games this season, and in his last outing, he went 7 2/3 innings, giving up zero runs and striking out 5. He started that game at home against the Blue Jays.

Astros Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Astros are 17th in the league in runs scored at 4.2 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. As a team, the Astros are batting .265, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. In terms of home runs, they are 5th in the league and have the fewest strikeouts per game in the league.

Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Tucker have been the Astros’ top power threats this season, with Alvarez leading the team with seven homers and Tucker right behind him with six. Tucker has gone 12/36 in his last 10 games, including two home runs, while Alvarez is just 10/43 in that stretch but also has three homers.

Colorado’s overall record is 7-20 heading into today’s game vs. the Astros, and they are 10.0 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. So far, they have gone just 4-7 in divisional matchups. The Rockies dropped the first game of this series vs. the Astros after splitting their four-game series vs. the Padres.

At home, the Rockies are 5-9 compared to 2-11 on the road. As the underdog this season, Colorado is 7-20, and they have yet to be favored in a game. So far, they have not won a series, as their overall record is 0-7-1.

When betting the run line on the Rockies, it’s been best to take them as the underdog, as they are 12-15 against the run line overall. They are 7-7 at home against the run line, and their average run margin is -1.7 runs per game. In their losses, they are being outscored by an average of 4.4 runs per game.

The Rockies’ over/under record for the season is 13-14, and the average over/under line in their games is 10 runs. Their games have averaged 10.1 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game against the Astros is 16.5 runs, which is the highest line in any Rockies game this season. In the 27 games they’ve played this season, the over/under line has been set at 16.5 runs or higher just once. Their games have gone under the over/under line in 19 of the 27 games they’ve played this season.

Austin Gomber Gets The Start For The Rockies

Coming into today’s game against the Astros, Austin Gomber has started the year with a 0-1 record. He’s coming off a no-decision in his last start, where he went 5 innings and gave up 3 earned runs to the Phillies. In his first start of the year, he went 6 innings, giving up 2 earned runs on 6 hits.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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Colorado’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .245, which is 12th in the league, and have the 12th most home runs in the league. However, their isolated power (ISO) of .135 is only 17th in the league.

Currently, Brenton Doyle is on a six-game hitting streak and is batting .326 for the season. He also has three homers, which is 2nd on the team. Ryan McMahon has also been a solid power threat for the Rockies, as he has four homers and is batting .310 for the season. However, he has gone just 4/19 in his last six games.


Astros vs Rockies Prediction


Our prediction for this Astros vs. Rockies matchup is to take the Rockies on the money line at +172. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Rockies, and with the payout at +172, there is a lot of value in picking the Rockies to win outright.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Austin Gomber is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is much lower than Framber Valdez, who is projected to finish with six. However, we have Gomber finishing with a better chance of picking up the win and also have his final line looking better than Valdez.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.