The Houston Astros (13-24) travel to face off against the Detroit Tigers (19-18) on Friday, May 10th. This game will be played at Comerica Park in Detroit and televised on None. The Astros are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.
Astros vs Tigers
Houston closed out their series vs. the Yankees with a 4-3 win on the road. Heading into the game, the Astros were the +127 underdog. Things started off well for the Astros, as they got on the board with three runs in the 1st inning. The Yankees pulled to within one run with a two-run 3rd, but the Astros added another run in the 5th to make it 4-2. Houston’s bullpen was able to close things out, and Josh Hader picked up the save.
Ronel Blanco got the start for the Astros, going 5 2/3 innings, and picked up the win. He only gave up two runs on four hits and issued just one walk. Offensively, the Astros scored their four runs on json11 hits. Yordan Alvarez and Jon Singleton each had a homer and scored two runs. Jeremy Pena went 2/3 with a run scored.
The Astros kick off their series vs. the Tigers on the road, and they are 5th in the AL West, eight games behind the Rangers for the division lead. Houston is 13-24 overall, and they are 5-5 against other AL West teams this year.
At home, the Astros have gone 7-12 this year while posting a similar 6-12 mark on the road. So far, they are just 3-10 as the road favorite, and they are 10-19 overall in games where they were favored. As for their series record, the Astros are 4-7-1 and lost two straight series before taking on the Tigers today.
The Astros have been a bad bet on the run line this season, going 13-24, including a 6-12 mark on the road. They have been favored in 29 games and are just 9-20 in those contests. Their average run margin is -0.8 runs per game, and in their 24 losses, the average run margin is -3.8 runs per game.
When the Astros play, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. In their last 10 games, the combined run average is 9.6. So far this season, their over/under record is 13-22. In games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 4-5. Their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. In 64.9% of their games, the over/under line has been set higher than 8.5 runs.
Framber Valdez Gets The Start For The Astros
Framber Valdez and the Astros are on the road to take on the Tigers today. Valdez has made 3 starts so far this season, and he has a win and a loss. In his last start, he went 5 1/3 innings, giving up 5 runs and striking out 9. He has 15 strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings this year.
Astros Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Astros are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. At home, they have been a bit better, putting up 4.8 runs per contest, which is 8th in the MLB. Houston comes into the game with the league’s best team batting average and also have the fewest strikeouts in the league.
Jose Altuve has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .302 over his last 10 games and is batting .327 for the season. Kyle Tucker has also been a big run producer for the Astros, as his 25 RBIs are 10th in the league. He also has 11 homers this season, which is 2nd in the MLB.
The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Guardians with a 5-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 4th inning before the Guardians scored four runs in the 4th to take the lead. Detroit was the +107 underdog on the money line going into this road game.
Reese Olson put together a good start for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just one earned run while striking out four. However, the Tigers couldnjson’t close things out, and Alex Lange took the loss out of the bullpen. Detroit’s offense scored their four runs on seven hits but didn’t hit a home run.
Detroit will host the Astros today with an overall record of 19-18, and they are 4th in the AL Central, 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 10-6 in divisional games. The Tigers dropped two of three in their series vs. the Guardians and are 4-6 across their last 10 games.
As the favorite, the Tigers have gone 9-7 this season and 10-11 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home and are 2-3 as the home underdog. Detroit’s overall series record is 6-4-2, and they have lost two straight series.
The Tigers have been a profitable run line team on the road this season, going 13-7 against the run line. They have been especially good as an underdog, going 15-6 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.8 runs, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.6 runs.
The Tigers have had a combined run average of 7.9 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 17-18, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 2-5. Overall, 70.3% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 8.5 runs. Their over streak is at 2 games.
Casey Mize Gets The Start For The Tigers
Casey Mize will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss and gave up five earned runs to the Yankees in 5 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Mize has made six starts and has a record of 1-1. His ERA for the season is 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.33. Opponents have hit .259 off Mize this season, and he has turned in two quality starts. Per nine innings, Mize is averaging 6.82 strikeouts and just 1.99 walks. At home, he has an ERA of 3.3 compared to 4.57 on the road.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Tigers are averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.8 runs per game. Detroit’s team batting average of .227 is 17th in the league, and they are also near the bottom of the league in OPS and slugging percentage.
Riley Greene has been one of the Tigers’ top hitters this season, as he is batting .254 with a team-high 17 RBIs and 9 homers. Greene has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/34 in his last eight games with three homers. Andy Ibanez is also swinging a hot bat, going 9/23 in his last eight games.
Astros vs Tigers Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 6-5 in favor of the Astros, giving us a lot of value in taking them on the money line, as they are listed at -135. If you’re looking to take an over/under pick, we would go with the over, as we see the combined score going over the 8.5 run line.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Framber Valdez getting six strikeouts compared to Casey Mize with just four. However, we have Mize going for a higher strikeout total, as he is projected to go 5.1 innings, compared to Mize at 5.0.
Offensively, the Astros have a much higher projected home run total than the Tigers, and we have the Astros finishing with 12 hits compared to the Tigers with nine.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 10, 2024 Astros, Tigers